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《2023 年高力國際全球投資者展望》匯集了我們國際投資者客戶群的全球調查結果,並由我們行業領先的研究團隊進行技術分析,同時也提供了高力國際全球各市場高級專家的觀點和見解。.

房地產市場絕非不受資本市場波動的影響。然而,顯而易見的是,房地產的基本面依然強勁。投資人高度重視當前情勢下各類資產所展現出的某些優勢。.

正如報告所強調的,許多市場正在進行重新調整,我們預計這一趨勢將持續到2023年。高力國際的共識是,隨著利率前景更加明朗,全球房地產市場將在2023年中開始趨於穩定。我們建議投資人將近期的趨勢視為迴歸相對理性,而非經濟衰退。.

本報告原刊登於 https://www.colliers.com/en-sg/research/2023-global-investor-outlook-apac-highlights

Real estate investors enter 2023 facing a very different investment landscape to the one they encountered at the beginning of 2022. Many property markets were still riding high this time last year. In 2021, they had delivered the strongest returns since before the 2008 global financial crisis (GFC), bouncing back from COVID-19-related weakness on the back of pent-up demand and a particularly buoyant industrial market. As 2022 progressed, however, that pent-up economic demand combined with exogenous supply shocks associated with the Russia-Ukraine war drove inflation to levels not seen in decades.

The future for real estate investing has not been so uncertain since the GFC, and this new environment presents many challenges for investors: Overall deal activity has plummeted as investors pause to reassess the risks they face and underwrite appropriately. While it is clear that sentiment is weak, this pause in activity levels means that pricing evidence is scarce; and for that reason, it will be important to triangulate from a range of data types and sources. Without the tailwind of compressing yields, returns will be driven more by occupier-market fundamentals — which, for office markets, are at a structural turning point. Understanding the interplay of rental growth, occupancy and expenses on delivered income across markets and property types will be key. These factors will be just a selection of the growing number of inputs that may drive asset performance in an increasingly complex investment environment. The ability to attribute risk and performance to a growing number of factors like yield and leasing profile, as well as exposure to more secular risks like climate change, will be increasingly important for investors.


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The rush of post-pandemic activity in the data center space seen throughout 2021 continued in 2022, despite headwinds in the overall economy and resource challenges in some of the largest markets worldwide. Hyperscale tenants continued their relentless expansion across regions, with specific interest toward secondary and emerging markets. Co-location providers and developers have followed suit, driven by higher availability and lower prices for both power and land.

The 2023 Global Data Center Market Comparison reviews all factors outlined in the previous edition of this report, with further commentary on a region-by-region basis. As with previous editions, we assess data center markets across the globe, within 13 different categories, to determine the top overall markets along with the top performers in each category. With this fourth edition of the report, we hope to provide members of the data center community with a better understanding of how the industry is rapidly changing and expanding across the globe.


儘管中國政府在推行「零新冠」政策和嚴格的宏觀審慎措施的同時,面臨著維持經濟穩定發展的諸多挑戰,但它始終堅定不移地推進其對國內房地產投資信託基金(REITs)市場的願景。 2022年,隨著中國首批租賃型房地產投資信託基金於8月上市,這項持續發展進程又邁上了一個新的里程碑,進一步拓展了中國房地產產業的融資管道。.

強有力的監管支持、優質的資產基礎以及中國12兆美元股市投資者對高股息股票的強勁需求,將繼續支撐該行業的高估值。進展顯而易見,我們可以預期2023年將有更多中國房地產投資信託基金(C-REITs)上市。將傳統商業地產納入C-REITs範疇──這可以說是C-REITs發展歷程中的終極目標和最終目標──正逐步成為現實,隨之而來的上市浪潮無疑將帶來巨大的投資機會。.

2022 年第四季新加坡數據報告提供了新加坡辦公大樓、商業園區、零售、住宅和工業市場的淨吸收量、租金、空置率、供應量和其他關鍵指標的最新評論和數據,以及對房地產投資活動的分析。.


儘管中國政府在推行「零新冠」政策和嚴格的宏觀審慎措施的同時,面臨著維持經濟穩定發展的諸多挑戰,但它始終堅定不移地推進其對國內房地產投資信託基金(REITs)市場的願景。 2022年,隨著中國首批租賃型房地產投資信託基金於8月上市,這項持續發展進程又邁上了一個新的里程碑,進一步拓展了中國房地產產業的融資管道。.

強有力的監管支持、優質的資產基礎以及中國12兆美元股市投資者對高股息股票的強勁需求,將繼續支撐該行業的高估值。進展顯而易見,我們可以預期2023年將有更多中國房地產投資信託基金(C-REITs)上市。將傳統商業地產納入C-REITs範疇──這可以說是C-REITs發展歷程中的終極目標和最終目標──正逐步成為現實,隨之而來的上市浪潮無疑將帶來巨大的投資機會。.

As many economies continue to raise interest rates to tackle inflation, and with growing concerns of a recession in other parts of the world, Asia Pacific investors have become more cautious, with net buying intention softening in 2023. 

CBRE’s 2023 Asia Pacific Investor Intentions Survey, which features insights from more than 500 investors across the region, finds that although fundraising activity remains healthy, most investors intend to adopt a wait-and-see stance in the first half of 2023 in anticipation of slower yield expansion and milder rate hikes.

Other key findings include:

  • Real estate allocations among Asia-based institutional investors are largely below their global peers. These respondents indicate that their allocations to real estate will remain the same or increase over the next 12 months.
  • Opportunistic strategies will gain momentum in 2023 as investors look to capitalise on price dislocation and seek distressed opportunities.
  • Industrial and logistics remains the most preferred asset class, while residential (especially multifamily and built-to-rent) logged the strongest uptick in interest. Offices are still the top property type among core investors.
  • Although healthcare-related properties have overtaken data centres to become the most popular alternative sector, the investible universe for this asset class in Asia Pacific remains limited.
  • Tokyo retained its status as the top city for cross-border investment for a fourth consecutive year, followed by Singapore and Ho Chi Minh City.

本報告原刊登於 https://www.cbre.com/insights/reports/asia-pacific-investor-intentions-survey-2023

India has long been recognised as a country with immense potential, but it was often hindered by bureaucracy and red tape. In recent years, however, India has made laudable strides, with its economic growth leapfrogging other major countries, in part driven by concerted government-led reforms and sector-focused initiatives that have shaped a more business-friendly climate, particularly for foreign investment.

Today, India has forged ahead into a new era, and the country holds much promise with the largest youth population in the world1 and the second largest labour force2 globally. Investors can look forward to sustained returns from key beneficiaries of these structural advancements, particularly in the Office and Business Park sector.

本報告原刊登於 https://www.capitaland.com/en/about-capitaland/newsroom/inside/2023/January/Riding_the_Growth_Impetus_A_Focus_on_Indias_Office_and_Business_Park_Sector.html

暴風雨雲密布

2023年,亞太房地產市場面臨多重挑戰。首先是外部挑戰:烏克蘭戰爭加上新冠疫情後供應鏈中斷,推高了通膨,迫使各國央行升息,抑制了經濟成長。這一點在美國和歐洲尤其明顯,這兩個市場是亞洲出口產品的最終需求市場。其次是區域內部挑戰,主要集中在亞太地區最大的經濟體—中國。中國貢獻了亞太地區531兆至3兆美元的GDP,幾乎佔亞太地區所有製成品的三分之一。低成長,加上由於「零新冠」政策和更強硬的政治方向,中國變得更加孤立,導致房地產資本失去了大量的投資機會,而流出中國大陸的資金也已大幅減少。最後,還有長期的結構性挑戰,涉及人們的工作和購物方式,以及新技術如何打破資產類別之間的舊界限,並在創造性破壞的浪潮中創造新的界限。這種情況在全球市場都似曾相識。.


一線希望

當然,亞洲並非唯一面臨充滿挑戰的2023年——這一年經濟成長低於預期,距離新冠疫情前的正常水平還有一段距離。然而,與全球經濟,尤其是美國和歐洲相比,亞洲的優勢就顯而易見了。北美和歐洲在2022年底/2023年初面臨衰退之際,亞太地區許多地區將溫和成長,部分地區甚至會出現成長。由於通膨未能像其他地區那樣擴大,預計利率上升速度也會放緩。由於二十國集團峇裡島峰會,地緣政治緊張局勢也在緩和。一系列因新冠疫情而暫時擱置的貿易協定,也將有助於加速疫情後的復甦,因為供應鏈正在修復,該地區的低成本優勢將增強其競爭力。儘管「另類資產類別」在該地區蓬勃發展,但其他顛覆性因素,如彈性辦公和線上零售,其帶來的收益卻不如其他地區。同時,亞太地區的大部分地區仍在享受追趕式成長的優勢,例如東南亞和印度部分地區,這些地區獲得了巨大的經濟成長。.

光線

展望2023年,三大市場格局不太可能改變,但這並不意味著缺乏機遇,恰恰相反。在通膨環境下,亞洲較短的租賃期限應該會更具吸引力,而與指數掛鉤的防禦型行業,例如自助倉儲、學生公寓、多戶住宅和養老社區,應該會受到投資者的青睞。 「新經濟」依然充滿活力。.

在日本,低利率和疲軟的日圓將繼續吸引海外資本,物流資產和多戶住宅將成為投資目標,而旅館預計在 2023 年成為交易活躍的資產類別。.

同時,新加坡正崛起為該地區的‘地緣政治安全區’,不斷壯大其金融服務基礎,吸引私人家族辦公室,並受益於香港人才外流。越南則持續受益於新冠疫情限制措施的解除以及「中國+1」政策,預計2023年經濟規模將達到令人矚目的413兆美元。.

澳洲是亞洲主要的資源型經濟體,其高收益率、相對於主要市場的強勁成長以及澳元走軟等因素,應能吸引海外投資者。值得關注的產業包括物流、核心辦公大樓以及一系列另類投資。.

在中國,如同該地區其他地方一樣,生命科學、資料中心、物流和冷鏈投資的吸引力絲毫未減,因為結構性驅動因素依然強勁。即使在低通膨和低利率環境下,負債累累的企業可能會出售不良資產,但定價仍有爭議。.

展望2023年,如果不提及ESG(環境、社會與治理),那就不完整。無論你喜歡還是討厭它,它都將成為常態,預計未來將出現更多ESG承諾,更多ESG舉措將被納入所有資產類別的投資策略中。.

本文原載於 https://www.savills.co.jp/research_articles/167577/209583-0

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本報告旨在引導租戶參與其 ESG 之旅,使業主能夠更好地與租戶協調並建立更牢固的合作關係,並指導租戶透過其房地產最大限度地發揮其綠色潛力。.

本報告原刊登於 https://apac.knightfrank.com/esgmattersapac