思想引领

• 2021 年第三季度的净吸纳量为-119,000 平方英尺，这是自 2019 年年中开始的当前市场下行周期以来连续第八个季度出现负净吸纳量。本轮下行周期是该市历史上最长、最深的一次。.
• 然而，由于新租赁量的上升，负净吸纳量的幅度与前几个季度相比继续放缓。.
• 本季度整体空置率有所上升，湾仔/铜锣湾和港岛东的压力更为突出。九龙东的空置率有所下降，大中华区则保持稳定。.
• 尽管租赁需求仍然有限，但租赁需求的基础广泛，来自各行各业。大多数新租约涉及搬迁，也有一些缩小规模的租约。中国企业的租赁需求则相对平静。.
• 强劲的租赁势头确保了 2021 年第三季度的租金降幅趋缓，全市五个主要次级市场中有三个市场的租金环比降幅低于 1%。预计未来 12 个月租金将进一步下滑。.

本文最初发表于 https://www.cbre.com/

整体净吸纳量在连续八个负值季度后反弹为正值

商业活动、写字楼租赁需求和租金的复苏，使得 2021 年第三季度的空置率表现进一步改善。整体净吸纳量回升至 70,900 平方英尺，自 2019 年第三季度以来首次出现正增长，整体空置率降至 10.4%。租金修正继续减速，整体租金环比下降 0.3%，而第二季度环比下降 1.6%。.

阅读最新的第三季度写字楼报告，了解该行业的表现以及对业主和租户的建议。.

本文最初发表于 https://www.colliers.com/

亚太地区市场投资活动活跃，为年终业绩的强劲表现奠定了基础。.

充足的流动性和宽松的限制措施激发了投资者的兴趣，支持了亚太地区房地产市场的强劲活动，为年底的强劲表现奠定了基础。.

亚太地区趋势和报告要点：

• 澳大利亚 和 新西兰 随着主要城市摆脱长期的限制，投资者的乐观情绪和商业信心得以恢复，尤其是在办公楼市场。.
• 香港 由于经济回暖提振了投资者的胃口，交易量实现了 20% 的环比增长。.
• 投资活动 中国 在中国主要市场上，各类资产共完成了 20 多笔交易，交易总额约为 272 亿元人民币（42 亿美元）。.
• 新加坡‘零售业在第三季度的投资活动中遥遥领先，总交易额达 75 亿新元（55 亿美元）。.
• 韩国‘受首尔写字楼投资需求飙升的推动，本季度首尔写字楼市场十分活跃。.
• 办公楼、多户住宅和物流部门 日本 在房地产投资信托价格回升至《19 世纪房地产投资信托协议》生效前水平的背景下，房地产投资信托继续吸引着投资者的强劲需求。.

下载以下报告，了解更多针对亚太地区投资者的专家建议。联系方式 唐俊 和 约翰-马拉斯科 了解亚太地区资本市场的更多主要趋势和机遇。.

本文最初发表于 https://www.colliers.com/en-in/

Market softening continues

The rapid vaccine rollout, increasing corporate profits, and limited supply should give the market some much needed breathing room.

• The lukewarm market sentiment continued to weigh on office rents and vacancy in the central five wards (C5W) this quarter.
• Average Grade A office market rents in the C5W fell 2.2% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) and 8.2% year-on-year (YoY), and now stand at JPY34,370 per tsubo per month.
• The average Grade A office vacancy rate in the C5W increased by 0.8 percentage points (ppts) QoQ and 1.8ppts YoY to 2.5% in Q3/2021.
• Average large-scale Grade B office rents declined to JPY26,106 per tsubo per month – a contraction of 2.5% QoQ and 8.4% YoY.
• The average vacancy rate in the Grade B market loosened by 0.5ppts QoQ and 2.3ppts YoY to 3.3%.
• With the rapid vaccination rollout, strong corporate profit growth and limited supply until 2023, market sentiment should begin to stabilise or even improve.
• The poor performance of less accessible and older offices remains a drag on the office market overall. Meanwhile, tenant preferences for easily accessible and new offices persist.

本文最初发表于 https://www.savills.com.hk/

Downtrend in rents continues

Although rents have weakened, occupancy rates see a slow recovery.

• Rents in the Tokyo 23 wards (23W) fell by 0.9% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) and 3.6% year-on-year (YoY) to JPY3,929 per sq m this quarter.
• Average mid-market rents in the central five wards (C5W) saw a small decline this quarter and are now at JPY4,661 per sq m – a fall of 0.2% QoQ and 3.6% YoY.
• The C5W premium has inched up to 17.9% – up 0.3 percentage points (ppts) from Q2/2021.
• In the C5W, average rents for units in the 15-30 sq m size band have again decreased this quarter. However, the 30-45 sq m size band saw a small increase in rents.
• The average occupancy rate in the 23W rose by 0.2ppts to 95.6%. The C5W saw a similar increment, increasing 0.2ppts to 94.5%.
• The C5W has seen a population decline, driven by younger families who appear to prefer larger units.

本文最初发表于 https://www.savills.com.hk/

复苏仍遥不可及

在大体稳定的市场中，中环出现了一些租赁活动迹象，而餐饮业再次成为业主的首选行业。.

• 第三季度市场相对稳定，零售业情绪疲软，而餐饮业仍是难得的亮点。.
• 外出就餐或 ‘美食之旅 ’已成为当地人的 ‘新假期’，为所有价位的餐饮业提供了支持。.
• 核心地段的租赁活动基本保持低迷，只有中环因依赖本地高端需求而继续受益。.
• 优质街铺和大型购物中心的租金已趋于稳定，季度增长率分别为 0.4% 和 1.2%。.

本文最初发表于 https://www.savills.com.hk/

Rental declines continue across the board

Rental declines were milder in Kowloon with vacancy gradually absorbed after the aggressive rental adjustments of late last year. 

• Grade A rents fell by 1.5% in Q3/2021 compared with a 2.6% decline in Q2/2021.
• The Central office market has been buffeted by the same headwinds as other markets, but despite this we have seen some selective expansion demand and new leases among Mainland financial institutions as well as new industry tenants.
• In the uncertain environment, serviced offices are popular, and we note more take-up from large operators in core business districts.
• Rental declines were milder in Kowloon with vacancy gradually absorbed, particularly in Tsim Sha Tsui and Kowloon East.
• Vacancy rates continued to climb to 9.3% in Q3 with office buildings in some areas, such as North Point and Kowloon West, suffering more than others.
• Upcoming supply in prime areas is seeing some early pre-commitment.
• As Central’s rental premium over the rest of the market narrows, decentralised rents may in turn come under pressure. Looking ahead, during a period of uncertain prospects and elevated supply, a lot will depend on demand from PRC firms over the next 12 to 24 months.

本文最初发表于 https://www.savills.com.hk/

Investors remain engaged

Logistics leasing activity levels revived in Q3 with operators opting to renewal in order to minimize business disruption, while those with expansion needs were looking for relocation options.

• The revival of the local trading and retail sectors has meant that many logistics operators were keen to renew leases to avoid business disruption, while those with expansion demand chose to relocate. 
• Overall and modern warehouse rents continued to rebound by 2.1% and 2.5% in Q3/2021 respectively, while both overall and modern warehouse vacancy rates fell to 3.2% and 2.6% over the same quarter, after a small spike last quarter.
• Investment sentiment continued to revive in Q3 with 17 major deals of over HK$100 million concluded worth a total of over HK$7.3 billion.  While investment funds were still keen on the high yield logistics sector, we note more participation from logistics operators (for eventual owner-occupation) and developers (for redevelopment).
• With local and global supply chains both expected to continue to rebound, short-term logistics demand seems to be sustainable. Nevertheless, a total of 7 million sq ft of new warehouse space is scheduled to come on stream over the next two years, so far with little pre-commitment, and this will test market resolve when it arrives in 2022 and 2023. 
• The robust investment sentiment for warehouse assets so far this year has already pushed prices up and yields down.  With Revitalization Policy 2.0 extended for another three years, we expect industrial investment to refocus more on run-down industrial premises with redevelopment potential.

本文最初发表于 https://www.savills.com.hk/

• Based on the Ministry of Trade and Industry’s (MTI) Q2 2021 economic survey, Singapore’s economy grew 14.7% year-on-year (y-o-y) in the second quarter of 2021. On a quarter-onquarter (q-o-q) seasonally-adjusted basis, Singapore’s economy actually contracted by 1.8% in Q2 2021, compared to the 3.3% q-o-q expansion recorded in the first quarter of 2021.
• Manufacturing continued to drive the recovery in Singapore, as semiconductor manufacturers and sub-contractors supporting electronics firms reaped the benefits of the global chip shortage. The precision engineering and electronics clusters recorded 24.3% and 18.3% y-o-y growth respectively. These numbers were overshadowed by the impressive growths seen in the transport engineering and chemicals clusters, which recorded 29.6% and 20.1% y-o-y growth respectively, although this was largely the result of the low base effects in 2020.

本文最初发表于 https://www.knightfrank.com/

• Prices of non-landed private residential properties (excluding Executive Condominiums (ECs)) grew by a marginal 0.5% quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) in Q3 2021** to 159.6, with transactions in the Rest of Central Region (RCR) being the main contributor to the rise. The quarterly increase was moderated when compared to Q1 and Q2 2021, where the index grew by 2.5% and 1.1% respectively.
• There were 7,103 non-landed private homes (excluding ECs) transactions in Q3 2021*, a slight 1.4% decrease q-o-q. While both Q2 and Q3 2021 included periods where Singapore was in or reverted to Phase 2 (Heightened Alert), quarterly sales volume largely held up above a respectable 7,000 units. Especially when compared to an average of about 4,162 units during the pre-pandemic year of 2019*.

本文最初发表于 https://www.knightfrank.com/