思想領導

中國  

“過高的槓桿率，以及開發商與買家的融資條件收緊，都對市場造成壓力，讓一些觀察者認為房地產即將崩盤。然而，經驗豐富的觀察家預期，對於無法履行還款義務的重債開發商，將進行冗長且有管理的資產重組，並保證房屋買家、供應商和員工都能得到照顧。- James Macdonald 

香港

“隨著恆大事件的展開，以及內地政府對各行各業的管制，新的挑戰已經出現，對辦公室需求造成負面影響，而零售市場的復甦仍然遙遙無期。

印度 

“第二波大流行病造成的決策延遲導致投資顯著放緩。2021 年第三季流入印度房地產的私募投資按季減少 45%。然而，本季度吸引投資者的數據中心和生命科學研發資產卻出現了曙光”。- Arvind Nandan

印尼 

“管理大流行病的正面消息提振了開發商的信心，他們正準備推出新產品或推出擴張計劃。住宅市場的銷售額正在上升，而在國內和區域業者需求強勁的支持下，外國投資者對數據中心和物流業的興趣持續加強”。- 安東

日本 

“「在新領導層的希望中，日本加快接種疫苗的步伐，為新的經濟進步鋪路。」--Tetsuya Kaneko 

馬來西亞 

“「2021年前三季總交易量達57億令吉，與2020年前三季相比，顯著增加30%」。- 納貝爾 侯賽因 

新加坡 

“「部署投資資本的需求比大流行病所造成的障礙更大」。- Alan Cheong

南韓

“「由於住房持續短缺，Officetel 的價格正在飆升」。- JoAnn Hong

台灣 

“「台灣中央銀行宣佈新一輪的信貸管制，為市場降溫，然而，中國的停電可能會成為台灣公司將生產轉回台灣的另一個催化劑，這將支持工業地產領域的價格進一步上漲」。- 丁艾琳 

泰國 

“「暫緩關閉和疫苗接種率的提高，為受重創的經濟帶來了一些紓緩，而新經濟公司繼續成為辦公室、數據中心和物流空間需求的主要推動力」。- Palathip Chunhasomboon

越南 

“對於來自日本、韓國和新加坡的外國投資者來說，越南仍然是一個具有吸引力的投資目的地，今年前 9 個月，越南房地產市場實現註冊外商直接投資總額 $17.8 億美元。位於衛星地區、有空間發展基礎設施和增值設施的項目是投資重點”。- Troy Griffiths

本文原載於 https://www.savills.co.jp/

• In Q3/2021, Wuhan’s retail property market saw no new supply and witnessed the closing of Hanjie Wanda Plaza in Zhongnan Zhongbei Road, which will be transformed into an SKP by Wanda Group and Beijing Hualian Group. The citywide retail property stock decreased to 6.64 million sq m by the end of Q3/2021.
• Upgraded stock projects brought several central China first stores, especially in the luxury retail sector.
• Driven by capital investments, popular F&B brands expanded vigorously. Several coffee and bakery brands opened their first stores during the quarter.
• Due to the tenant adjustments in current projects, the citywide vacancy rate decreased 1.0 percentage point (ppt) to 8.1% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ). The prime area’s leasing performance took the lead, with its vacancy rate falling 1.8 ppts to 9.3% QoQ.
• The average rent for the ground floor of citywide shopping malls rose to RMB 308.2 per month per sq m, with the rental index moving up 0.7% QoQ and 0.3% year-on-year (YoY).
• In Q4/2021, Wuhan’s retail property market will see the delivery of Huafa & City Hub, Wuhan Joy City, Wanda Plaza (Hanyang) and Vanke Future Centre, adding over 450,000 sq m new supply to the market.

本文原載於 https://en.savills.com.cn/

• In Q3/2021, Wuhan’s Grade A office market witnessed no new supply, so the citywide Grade A office stock remained at 2.26 million sq m.
• Information technology, business services and consumer services saw active leasing demand in the quarter, respectively accounting for 26.3%, 16.0% and 15.1%, ranking the top three among all industries.
• Rent declines released upgrade and relocation demand, which took up 44.2% of the citywide total, while new set-ups were also in demand, accounting for 26.5%. The implementation of the “double reduction” policy for compulsory education has driven out many online education companies.
• The citywide Grade A office net take-up recorded 40,000 sq m, a 12.1% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) decrease. By the end of the quarter, the average Grade A office vacancy rate declined 1.8 percentage points (ppts) to 35.1%.
• The citywide Grade A office average rent has fallen for seven consecutive months, but with a narrowing decline range. By the end of Q3/2021, the average rent for Grade A office fell to RMB102.2 per sq m per month, while the rent index fell 0.4% QoQ and 4.1% year-on-year (YoY).
• Wuhan’s Grade A office market is expected to introduce TF Building and Huaxia Bank Tower next quarter. Due to construction delays, several landmark Grade A buildings will postpone their delivery to 2022.

本文原載於 https://en.savills.com.cn/

The past two years have seen an unprecedented degree of disruption—from the pandemic to climate-related events to social justice protests. This convergence of global challenges has heightened focus on the environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues and trained a spotlight on corporate real estate (CRE) leaders’ purpose and mission.

本文原載於 https://www.cbre.com/

2020 was a watershed year for Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) investing in real estate as pandemic- and climate-related disruption, along with growing recognition of social inequity, prompted investors to adopt a more robust approach to sustainability-related risks.

60% of respondents to CBRE’s 2021 Global Investor Intentions Survey stated that they have already adopted ESG criteria as part of their investment strategies, with the Americas, EMEA and Asia-Pacific all recording a stronger focus on ESG issues than in previous years.

With ESG now playing a much more prominent role in how companies operate, investors are embedding ESG considerations into every stage of the property lifecycle, from due diligence to acquisitions and from leasing to asset management.

本文原載於 https://www.cbre.com/

China’s 14th Five-Year Plan (FYP) includes a number of socioeconomic goals. Three areas which the plan is looking to further improve upon are:

• Innovation, technology and ‘new infrastructure’;
• Environmental sustainability, and;
• City cluster development.

本文原載於 https://www.cushmanwakefield.com.cn/en/

Office net absorption hits record high; New infrastructure emerges as investment focus

OFFICE

Overall net absorption increased by 18% q-o-q to 352,700 sq. m., a record high. TMT firms contributed 43% of total new leasing volume as several leading companies in the sector completed large-size transactions. Four new office buildings providing a total GFA of 283,000 sq. m. were completed in the CBD and Lize.

RETAIL

New supply in Q3 2021 included the 105,000 sq. m. GFA Xiyue Paradise Walk, which come on stream fully leased. F&B retailers remained active, led by coffee and tea brands. Six projects providing a total GFA of 369,000 sq. m. are scheduled to come on stream in the next six months.

LOGISTICS

No new logistics supply was added to the market this quarter. Demand continued to be led by e-commerce platforms and Third-Party Logistics (3PL) firms. Two new logistics facilities are scheduled to be completed over the next six months, providing a total GFA of 117,000 sq. m..

BUSINESS PARK

Three new projects in Z-Park, Fengtai and BDA area were delivered to the market this quarter, providing a total GFA of 594,000 sq. m.. TMT continued to drive demand for business park space, with traditional internet companies and integrated circuit firms most active.

INVESTMENT

Eleven investment transactions were closed in Q3 2021, totalling RMB 8.1 billion. As all deals were below RMB 2 billion and eight were below RMB 1 billion, total investment volume declined q-o-q, while y-t-d investment volume remained flat y-o-y. Assets related to ‘new infrastructure’, such as data centres, were keenly sought-after, accounting for 21% of total investment volume this quarter.

本文原載於 https://www.cbre.com/

写字楼净吸纳量创历史新高，大宗物业投资意愿增强

写字楼市场

净吸纳量延续上行并创下单季历史新高。搬迁扩租态势进一步扩大，TMT持续增长，同时金融及医药行业加速布局。受需求全面回暖的带动，全市租金止跌企稳，报价和有效租金较上季度分别上调0.6%和0.8%，前滩和南京西路回暖最为明显。

零售市场

三个优质项目入市，为市场带来共计43.2万平方米的零售供应。租赁需求活跃，餐饮依旧是当前主力需求，占比39%；时尚品类占比24%，其中女装与运动品牌需求最为亮眼。

物流市场

第三季度市场未录得新增供应，季内第三方物流引领市场需求，松江、奉贤与金山分别录得若干第三方物流公司的新租扩租需求，旺盛的需求致全市空置率持续下降，平均租金稳步上涨。

商务园区市场

旺盛需求持续释放，商务园区写字楼单季净吸纳量达36.5万平方米，仅次于2015年峰值。

投资市场

上海以25笔大宗交易共计218.7亿元交易总额继续领跑全国，尽管单季金额环比下降，但年内累计成交金额达678.0亿元，接近去年全年水平。

本文原載於 https://www.cbre.com/

Investment Volume Remains High As Office Net Absorption Sets New Benchmark

OFFICE                                                                                   

Net absorption reached an historical high in Q3 2021 thanks to a wave of relocations and expansions by TMT and pharmaceutical occupiers. Strong leasing momentum ensured asking and effective rents rose by 0.6% and 0.8%, respectively, with growth led by New Bund and Nanjing West Rd.

RETAIL

Three new shopping malls were delivered this quarter, adding 432,000 sq. m. of new retail space to the market. F&B retailers dominated leasing demand, accounting for 39% of total space leased in Q3 2021. The fashion category accounted for 24% of leasing volume, with significant demand originating from women’s wear and sports brands.

LOGISTICS

No new logistics supply came on stream in Q3 2021. 3PLs continued to dominate leasing demand, with Songjiang, Fengxian and Jinshan recording a steady flow of new leases and expansions. Robust demand and limited availability in most submarkets ensured overall vacancy declined and overall rents rose.

BUSINESS PARK

Strong leaving activity pushed up net absorption to 365,000 sq. m., bringing the year-to-date (y-t-d) figure to a level slightly below the record set in 2015.

INVESTMENT

Shanghai remained the country’s most buoyant investment market, registering 25 en-bloc deals worth a combined total of RMB 21.87 billion in Q3 2021. Despite a q-o-q slowdown in investment volume, the y-t-d figure reached RMB 67.8 billion, just below last year’s full-year total.

本文原載於 https://www.cbre.com/

The Asia-Pacific Prime Office Rental Index saw a 0.3% quarter-on quarter decrease, and a 3.1% year-on-year decline, a continuation of the deceleration we’ve been seeing since the start of 2021, despite the resurgence of cases in many parts of the region.

Overall vacancy remains unchanged, as improvements in take-up in some markets are cancelled out by negative net absorption in others. The final stretch of 2021 should see continued stabilisation of prime office rents. As such, occupiers are more forward-looking as compared to one to two quarters ago and are able to put in place some growth plans in terms of the trajectory of their headcounts and office requirements. We are cautiously optimistic that the rate of rental decline will continue to decelerate towards the start of next year.

本文原載於 https://www.knightfrank.com/