思想引领

2022 年第三季度投资趋势》对澳大利亚、中国大陆、香港特别行政区、中国台湾、日本、韩国、印度、新加坡和新西兰的需求驱动因素和其他主要投资趋势进行了深入和最新的分析。.

主要趋势

• 利率上调速度快于预期，阻碍了收购活动
• 房地产基金和机构买家主导采购
• 物流和酒店交易大幅下降
• 零售交易流量回升
• 跨境交易继续同比增长
• 筹资工作依然稳健
• 预计投资活动将进一步减弱

本报告最初发表于 https://www.cbre.com/insights/figures/asia-pacific-investment-trends-q3-2022

主要趋势

• 租赁活动失去动力
• 入住率居高不下
• 第三方物流和电子商务推动需求增长
• 太平洋市场支撑租金增长
• 投资兴趣保持坚挺
• 部分市场的产量温和增长

本报告最初发表于 https://www.cbre.com/insights/figures/asia-pacific-industrial-and-logistics-trends-q3-2022

主要趋势

• 零售额增长放缓
• 通货膨胀和经济衰退的担忧影响消费
• 租赁活动略有复苏
• 奢侈品牌变得更加活跃
• 零成本影响中国大陆需求
• 零售商仍将保持谨慎

本报告最初发表于 https://www.cbre.com/insights/figures/asia-pacific-retail-trends-q3-2022

主要趋势

• Slower economic growth and inflationary pressure weigh on leasing activity
• Mainland China see mild recovery but other markets flat or weaker
• Finance, tech and coworking remain major demand drivers
• Rising construction and fit-out costs cause delays to new supply
• Flight to quality relocation still most popular strategy
• Occupiers set to remain cost cautious as economic worries mount

本报告最初发表于 https://www.cbre.com/insights/figures/asia-pacific-office-trends-q3-2022

• The Asia Pacific flexible office space market continued to display cautious growth in 2022, with the total volume of flexible office space in the region reaching 76 million sq. ft. as of September, an increase of 6% y-o-y on 2021 and 15% on pre-pandemic levels.
• As of September, flexible office space accounted for about 4% of total office stock and 3% of total Grade A office stock in Asia Pacific. In the Grade A segment, India and Singapore reported the highest penetration of flexible office space, while most North Asian markets are just below 2%.
• Tech firms and business services companies remain the top corporate users of flexible office space. Interest is also growing among financial, life science and consumer product firms.
• Trends that will continue to shape the flexible office landscape in 2023 include:

1. Flexible space operators offering on-demand memberships to cater to more dispersed workforces resulting from the widespread adoption of hybrid work
2. Growing occupier demand for customised enterprise and turnkey solutions to mitigate rising fit out costs and CapEx constraints
3. The use of asset-light strategies as flexible space operators form partnership with landlords using management contracts

本报告最初发表于 https://www.cbre.com/insights/briefs/h2-2022-asia-pacific-flexible-office-market-deliberate-growth-continues

Almost three years after the onset of the global pandemic, the retail industry has been through one the biggest stress tests imaginable, but best-in-class real estate has remained robust – and even emerged stronger in some markets.

Cushman & Wakefield’s flagship Main Streets Across the World report tracks the top retail districts across 92 cities and ranks the most expensive by prime rental value. An annual report until 2019, this year’s report is the first since then, allowing insight into comparative performance pre- and post-pandemic.

Rent Growth Highlights

• Rents across global prime retail destinations declined by 13% on average during the depth of the pandemic but have rebounded to just 6% below pre-pandemic levels.
• The Americas, thanks largely the to the U.S., was the most resilient region – on average rents now sit at a 15% premium to pre-pandemic levels.
• In Asia Pacific rents fell on average by 17%, impacted by international border closures, which curbed tourism in prime locations.

Global Rankings

• New York’s Upper Fifth Avenue moves up one spot to number one, now ranks as the most expensive retail destination in the world.
• Hong Kong has slipped to second place, with Tsim Sha Tsui overtaking Causeway Bay as the most expensive precinct in the city-state.
• Via Montenapoleone in Milan has jumped two positions to achieve third place, followed by London’s New Bond Street and The Avenues des Champs Elysees in Paris rounding out the top five.

This quarter, the Knight Frank Data Centre report focuses on the growth markets of Asia Pacific. Market analysis includes Osaka, Melbourne, Jakarta, Manila, Hanoi, Taipei, and Indian cities Hyderabad, New Delhi and Chennai.

The growth trajectory of data centre supply noted in the principal global data centre markets in previous quarters is now being mirrored in secondary cities across the region. Underpinned by strong demand fundamentals and a trend towards greater localisation of data centre facilities, total supply (live, under construction, and committed capacity) in the reported APAC markets has grown from just under 700MW five years ago to over 3,000MW today. For the first three quarters of 2022 alone, around 600MW of new capacity has been added.

Melbourne, Jakarta and Osaka now each have over half a gigawatt of aggregate IT Supply. At 593MW of registered IT supply, Melbourne is seeing renewed interest from local and regional operators such as NextDC, AirTrunk, Vantage and Stack Infrastructure, which will add close to 450MW to existing live supply. Microsoft is also known to be planning a facility here. Jakarta has seen significant announcements and planned capacity, several times the existing supply, from both hyperscale cloud service providers like Amazon and Microsoft, as well as a variety of local and international operators. Osaka continues to develop as an alternative data centre market in Japan complementing the more established Tokyo region.

The major cities of Hyderabad, New Delhi and Chennai are also registering rapid growth, with between 300MW to 400MW of IT capacity each. About two-thirds of this supply was added in the past couple of years, with around 50% of total supply planned or committed capacity. The increased investment in the data centre sector in recent years is party driven by government policy, including easier access to credit and other incentives to boost data centre investment. Active players in the market include local firms such as CtrlS, Sify Technologies, Nxtra by Airtel and Web Werks, joint ventures such as AdaniConnex and BAM Digital Realty, as well as cloud service providers.

In Southeast Asia, Taipei, Manila and Hanoi continue to see growing interest from hyperscale CSPs and data centre investors. AWS announced local zones in both Manila and Hanoi this year and is in the process of rolling them out, while the global firm also launched its local zone in Taipei in October 2022. Current key players in these markets mainly comprise the local telcos, with a handful of regional joint ventures such as STT-Globe in the Philippines and NTT-VNPT in Vietnam.

Overall, the expansion of data centre activity into the growth markets across the APAC region remain on a strong footing, reflecting the continued resilience of demand across each geography.

本报告最初发表于 https://app.dcbyte.com/knight-frank-data-centres-report/Q3-2022/

In this article, we explore an emerging sub-set of infrastructure which is garnering increasing amounts of interest from global private equity and pension funds – Educational Infrastructure or ‘EduInfra’. EduInfra refers to the infrastructure, building and land used to deliver social services like education.

EduInfra is attractive to international annuity investors looking for stabilized yield plays. The sector has an edge over other similar asset classes due to its non-GDP linked and rather recession proof character with significant potential for capital appreciation. It offers a promising 10 – 11% entry cap rate with rental escalations in the region of 3 – 5%. While the market boasts of significant depth, potential has not been unleashed as operators are only slowly moving towards asset light models.  EduInfra’s classification as infrastructure allows for tax optimal exit through InvITs which can also serve as a growth platform attracting institutional investors.

This was originally published in https://resolutpartners.com/2022/11/15/eduinfra-emergence-of-a-new-asset-class/

Office: Macroeconomic headwinds and inflationary pressure weighed on office leasing activity in Q3 2022, pulling down net absorption by 11% q-o-q to 10.1 million sq. ft. NFA. Finance remained the main engine of leasing demand, with activity also seen from tech and co-working platforms. Rents increased by 0.4% q-o-q and 1.1% y-t-d.

Retail: Retail sales growth slowed as global recessionary fears continued to cloud consumer confidence. However, vacancy declined across the region along with the further easing of pandemic-related restrictions. Rents fell 1.8% y-o-y but posted a quarterly gain of 0.3% q-o-q.

Logistics: Leasing activity eased across Asia in Q3 2022, with markets including mainland China, Korea and India recording weaker demand. Leasing volume in the Pacific was weak compared with the same period of last year, owing to a further drop in availability. Rents grew by 1.4% in Q3 2022, a slightly slower rate than in the previous two quarters.

Investment: High interest rates continued to impair investment in major Asia Pacific markets, driving down commercial real estate investment volume by 20% y-o-y to US$27.3 billion. Acquisitions were driven by real estate funds, property companies, REITs, and institutional groups. Cross-border investment fell 1.0% y-o-y to US$8.0 billion.

本报告最初发表于 https://www.cbre.com/insights/figures/asia-pacific-figures-q3-2022

过去五年，电子商务发展迅猛，疫情爆发后更是加速扩张。尽管疫情限制措施解除后，电子商务渗透率已从疫情高峰回落，但世邦魏理仕预计，亚太地区未来的增长速度仍将超过世界其他地区。在世邦魏理仕确定的六大电子商务驱动因素中，亚太地区在三项方面拥有显著优势：城市人口增长、数字钱包普及以及充满活力的电子商务生态系统。.

随着零售业不断向全渠道模式发展，实体店的角色和功能也将随之改变。零售商和业主需要进行自我革新，以应对零售业的变革和全渠道模式的兴起。.

电子商务的蓬勃发展也带动了工业和物流地产的强劲需求，但供应渠道不太可能满足未来的需求。建议物流企业考虑定制开发项目，并投资最新的仓储技术。. 

本报告的主要亮点包括：

• 世邦魏理仕预测，到2026年，亚太地区的电子商务渗透率将增长至35%。然而，不同产品类别的电子商务渗透率会有所不同。.
• 预计到 2026 年，韩国、中国大陆、印度尼西亚、澳大利亚和台湾将成为亚太地区电子商务渗透率最高的五个市场。.
• 虽然实体店仍然至关重要，但全渠道的兴起正促使许多传统的实体零售商考虑新的业态和选址。.
• 未来五年内，将新增1亿至1.3亿平方米的专用土地。
• 亚太地区在线销售的增长需要电子商务物流空间的支持。.

本报告最初发表于 https://www.cbre.com/insights/reports/Asia-Pacific-Report-Omnichannel-Retail-and-its-Impact-on-Asia-Pacific-Real-Estate-October-2022