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Industrial market sees recovery

Industrial activity was observed to be relatively robust as strata sales and vacancy rates improve gradually but uncertainties remain.

In Q4/2020, the economy contracted by 2.4% YoY, moderating from the 5.8% contraction in Q3/2020. This was largely attributed to the 10.3% YoY expansion in the manufacturing sector, extending the 11% growth in Q3. The growth was led by output expansion in the electronics, biomedical manufacturing, precision engineering and chemicals cluster. Nevertheless, the COVID-19 pandemic still took a toll with Singapore’s economy contracting by 5.4% in 2020, a reversal from the 1.3% expansion in 2019. However, the manufacturing sector posted growth of 7.3%, in contrast to the 1.5% contraction in 2019. This was supported by expansion in the biomedical manufacturing, electronics and precision engineering clusters, arising from strong demand for pharmaceutical products, semiconductors and semiconductor manufacturing equipment respectively. With the pickup in manufacturing demand following the reopening of the economy, the manufacturing sector ended on a positive note in 2020. In December, the overall Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) remained in expansionary mode for a sixth straight month. Similarly, manufacturing output grew by 14.3% YoY in December, bringing overall growth to 7.3% in 2020. The expansion in December was supported by the electronics, chemicals and precision engineering. On the other hand, after an increase of 6.5% in Q3/2020, non-oil domestic exports (NODX) recorded a 0.5% YoY decline in Q4/2020. Nevertheless, NODX expanded by 4.3% in 2020, a reversal from the 9.2% drop in 2019. Despite global economic uncertainties, the overall growth in 2020 was led by increased shipments of electronics and non-electronics products.

Whilst the consumption tax hike enacted in October created some unease during the final months of 2019, there was plenty of encouragement heading into the new decade. Indeed, with the Tokyo Olympics on the horizon, property sectors exposed to inbound tourism were particularly upbeat. All the while, the relative stability of Japan’s political and economic landscape continued to appeal to investors. This optimism quickly faded amid the onset of COVID-19, however, and one of Japan’s longest post-war economic expansions was stopped in its tracks. Whilst the country has managed the virus relatively well, a somewhat long road to recovery is expected given its modest potential GDP growth rate. 

As for sector performance, the suspension of international travel has completely reversed the fortunes of the previously encouraging retail and hospitality sectors. In contrast, the structural changes brought on by the proliferation of e-commerce has thrust the logistics sector into the spotlight. Both the residential and office sectors, meanwhile, are going through some significant changes, and these varying reactions to the pandemic are also echoed in the J-REIT markets. Specifically, a recent correction in logistics-focused J-REITs notwithstanding, likely in response to the sector overheating, premiums remain significantly higher than its peers. Concurrently, the stark contrast between hard assets and listed vehicles, may reflect different views on sector prospects or give arbitrage opportunities to shrewd investors.

Flexible workspaces in India grew at a CAGR of 38% from 2017 to 2019, with many local and global operators entering the space, led by increasedFlexible workspaces in India grew at a CAGR of 38% from 2017 to 2019, with many local and global operators entering the space, led by increaseddemand from corporate occupiers or enterprise clients. As of end-February 2021, the total flexible workspace stock stood at 30 million squarefeet (2.8 million square meters), across the top six Indian cities. Due to muted demand amid uncertain conditions, 2020 saw flexible workspaceoperators lease 2.9 million square feet (269,000 square meters) of space, down by 75.8% from 2019. This was about 8.5% of the total leasingrecorded across the top six cities. Bengaluru, Hyderabad and Mumbai accounted for the bulk of transactions as some operators expanded theirfootprints, mainly in decentralized locations. Further, deals totalling around 1.7 million square feet (158,000 square meters), which were precommittedor in the final stages, were cancelled across the top six cities.

As of March 2021, about 65% of the desks on offer are leased, across the top flexible workspace operators’ portfolios. Though the bulk of thisspace is occupied by established corporates as opposed to freelancers or start-ups, and we think there is still scope for enterprise clients to takeupmore flexible workspace as operators are offering attractive prices for large or multi-location deals. The leasing period is currently about oneto two years as firms look at flexible workspaces as a temporary solution to accommodate their workforce until they finalize their expansion andfootprints beyond 2023.

高力国际在其最新的 2021 年展望报告中预计，印度房地产的机构投资将从 2020 年的 3,460 亿印度卢比（48 亿美元）增长 14.6%，达到 3,960 亿印度卢比（55 亿美元）。相比之下，2020 年比 2019 年减少了 23%。高力国际认为，机构投资者继续看好办公楼、数据中心和仓库等印度房地产资产类别，他们正寻求部署现有的干粉。.

“印度的投资环境非常活跃，全球投资者对房地产资产的兴趣日益浓厚。全球利率处于历史低位，而印度的净收益率为正数，因此印度已成为房地产投资的首选目的地之一。此外，印度市场的韧性还体现在各个市场持续良好的住房销售业绩、对商业办公楼和工业园区的大量机构投资，以及过去六个月中两家房地产投资信托基金的上市。’

Data centers: Critical infrastructure for the global economy: Growth opportunities and operational challenges for fund managers
White paper by SS&C

The world is awash in data. By some estimates, humans generate 2.5 quintillion bytes of data every day. The volume of data in the world reportedly doubles every two years, and an estimated 90% of the world’s existing data was generated just in the past two years.

All that data needs places to live and work, which helps explain the rapid proliferation of data centers globally. At the end of 2019, there were more than 500 “hyperscale” data centers around the world, according to analyst firm Synergy Research, and the number continues to climb. Real estate services firm JLL estimates that, as of mid-2020, there were 63.4 million feet of data center square footage globally, and another 4.3 million under construction.

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