思想領導

• Tenant enquiries and site visits increased in the surveyed period, largely driven by the retail and industrial sector. Activity in mainland China continued to be constrained by strict pandemic-related measures.
• Demand for both traditional and flex office space cooled as many occupiers switched to wait-and-see mode amidst the dimmer economic outlook. The appetite from industrial sector also decreased as respondents saw more consolidations.
• While the outlook for rents in Korea, Singapore and Australia turns more positive in the surveyed period, lagging markets like mainland China also expected a slower rental decline.
• Regional leasing sentiment remained largely stable. Although mainland China was the weakest performer, a more positive outlook is expected along with recent relaxation of zero COVID policy. Landlord strength continued to decline as the market shifted further in favour of tenants.

本報告原刊登於 https://www.cbre.com/insights/briefs/asia-pacific-market-sentiment-survey-december-2022

今年早些時候，世邦魏理仕開展了一項史無前例的全球調查，訪問了超過2萬名受訪者，涵蓋了從Z世代到嬰兒潮一代的各個年齡段，旨在了解他們未來的生活、工作和購物方式，以及這些變化將如何影響他們的房地產需求。其中，亞太地區的受訪者約有9000人。.

調查結果揭示了新的見解，這些見解可以用來指導房地產租戶和投資者的策略，並確保房地產能夠滿足用戶不斷變化的需求。.

亞太地區的主要調查結果包括：

居住

• 強烈的搬家意願：32% 居民希望搬家，其中市中心區域最受歡迎。
• 強勁的購屋意願：在計劃搬家的人中，有 66% 的人傾向於買房而不是租房子。
• 房屋選擇偏好轉變：66% 表示，健康和安全比價格更重要。                  

工作

• 人們希望有更大的彈性：85% 目前每週至少有三天在辦公室工作。
• 地理位置至關重要：75% 對位於市中心的辦公室感到滿意；55% 在郊區工作的同事也表達了同樣的感受。
• 工作場所品質至關重要：69% 的辦公室工作人員更重視工作場所品質。

店鋪

• 大多數消費者喜歡線下購物：61% 更傾向於在網上訂購前先到實體店查看商品。
• 個人財務前景樂觀：53% 預計未來一年他們的財務狀況將有所改善。
• 道德消費主義正在興起：80% 在購物時更關注環境和社會議題。

本報告原刊登於 https://www.cbre.com/insights/local-response/asia-pacific-live-work-shop-report-2022

重點總結

• 亞太地區國家繼續在生產地點排名中名列前茅，這主要歸功於當地勞動力資源豐富且成本低廉：排名前 12 的地區中，有一半位於亞太地區。.
• 與 2021 年相比，許多國家排名下滑，原因是成本增加（特別是勞動力和電力成本）和風險增加（經濟、政治和自然災害）；其中一些國家位於歐洲，烏克蘭戰爭對成本和風險因素產生了重大影響。.
• 隨著失業率持續下降，許多國家也面臨勞動力供應更加緊張的局面；這種情況影響了所有地理區域和經濟發展水平的國家，儘管亞太新興市場的主要生產地點繼續受益於不斷擴大的勞動力資源。.
• 許多國家——尤其是歐洲國家——提高了實現永續發展目標的能力，包括有效利用資源和創造綠色經濟機會，從而增強了其長期經濟前景和風險狀況。.
• 美國企業正以前所未有的速度將工作和供應鏈遷回國內。根據「回流倡議」（Reshoring Initiative）發布的報告顯示，美國企業今年預計將有近35萬個工作崗位遷回美國。.

閱讀完整報告

2022 年第三季投資趨勢報告深入分析了澳洲、中國大陸、香港特別行政區、台灣、日本、韓國、印度、新加坡和紐西蘭的需求驅動因素和其他關鍵投資趨勢，並提供了最新的見解。.

主要趨勢

• 利率上漲速度超出預期，阻礙了收購活動
• 房地產基金和機構買家主導的購買
• 物流和酒店交易量大幅下降
• 零售交易量增加
• 跨境交易額較去年同期持續成長
• 籌款情況依然穩健。
• 預計投資活動將進一步減弱

本報告原刊登於 https://www.cbre.com/insights/figures/asia-pacific-investment-trends-q3-2022

主要趨勢

• 租賃活動勢頭減弱
• 入住率依然很高。
• 第三方物流與電子商務推動需求
• 太平洋市場支撐著租金成長
• 投資興趣依然穩固
• 部分市場報酬率溫和擴張

本報告原刊登於 https://www.cbre.com/insights/figures/asia-pacific-industrial-and-logistics-trends-q3-2022

主要趨勢

• 零售銷售成長放緩
• 通貨膨脹和經濟衰退擔憂抑制了消費。
• 租賃活動略有復甦
• 奢侈品牌變得更加活躍
• 新冠疫情對中國大陸需求沒有影響
• 零售商仍將保持謹慎

本報告原刊登於 https://www.cbre.com/insights/figures/asia-pacific-retail-trends-q3-2022

主要趨勢

• 經濟成長放緩和通膨壓力對租賃活動構成壓力
• 中國大陸市場溫和復甦，但其他市場持平或走弱。
• 金融、科技和共享辦公室仍然是主要的需求驅動因素。
• 建築和裝修成本上漲導致新供應延遲
• 遷往優質住所仍是最受歡迎的策略
• 隨著經濟擔憂加劇，租戶預計將繼續保持成本謹慎態度。

本報告原刊登於 https://www.cbre.com/insights/figures/asia-pacific-office-trends-q3-2022

• The Asia Pacific flexible office space market continued to display cautious growth in 2022, with the total volume of flexible office space in the region reaching 76 million sq. ft. as of September, an increase of 6% y-o-y on 2021 and 15% on pre-pandemic levels.
• As of September, flexible office space accounted for about 4% of total office stock and 3% of total Grade A office stock in Asia Pacific. In the Grade A segment, India and Singapore reported the highest penetration of flexible office space, while most North Asian markets are just below 2%.
• Tech firms and business services companies remain the top corporate users of flexible office space. Interest is also growing among financial, life science and consumer product firms.
• Trends that will continue to shape the flexible office landscape in 2023 include:

1. Flexible space operators offering on-demand memberships to cater to more dispersed workforces resulting from the widespread adoption of hybrid work
2. Growing occupier demand for customised enterprise and turnkey solutions to mitigate rising fit out costs and CapEx constraints
3. The use of asset-light strategies as flexible space operators form partnership with landlords using management contracts

本報告原刊登於 https://www.cbre.com/insights/briefs/h2-2022-asia-pacific-flexible-office-market-deliberate-growth-continues

Almost three years after the onset of the global pandemic, the retail industry has been through one the biggest stress tests imaginable, but best-in-class real estate has remained robust – and even emerged stronger in some markets.

Cushman & Wakefield’s flagship Main Streets Across the World report tracks the top retail districts across 92 cities and ranks the most expensive by prime rental value. An annual report until 2019, this year’s report is the first since then, allowing insight into comparative performance pre- and post-pandemic.

Rent Growth Highlights

• Rents across global prime retail destinations declined by 13% on average during the depth of the pandemic but have rebounded to just 6% below pre-pandemic levels.
• The Americas, thanks largely the to the U.S., was the most resilient region – on average rents now sit at a 15% premium to pre-pandemic levels.
• In Asia Pacific rents fell on average by 17%, impacted by international border closures, which curbed tourism in prime locations.

Global Rankings

• New York’s Upper Fifth Avenue moves up one spot to number one, now ranks as the most expensive retail destination in the world.
• Hong Kong has slipped to second place, with Tsim Sha Tsui overtaking Causeway Bay as the most expensive precinct in the city-state.
• Via Montenapoleone in Milan has jumped two positions to achieve third place, followed by London’s New Bond Street and The Avenues des Champs Elysees in Paris rounding out the top five.

This quarter, the Knight Frank Data Centre report focuses on the growth markets of Asia Pacific. Market analysis includes Osaka, Melbourne, Jakarta, Manila, Hanoi, Taipei, and Indian cities Hyderabad, New Delhi and Chennai.

The growth trajectory of data centre supply noted in the principal global data centre markets in previous quarters is now being mirrored in secondary cities across the region. Underpinned by strong demand fundamentals and a trend towards greater localisation of data centre facilities, total supply (live, under construction, and committed capacity) in the reported APAC markets has grown from just under 700MW five years ago to over 3,000MW today. For the first three quarters of 2022 alone, around 600MW of new capacity has been added.

Melbourne, Jakarta and Osaka now each have over half a gigawatt of aggregate IT Supply. At 593MW of registered IT supply, Melbourne is seeing renewed interest from local and regional operators such as NextDC, AirTrunk, Vantage and Stack Infrastructure, which will add close to 450MW to existing live supply. Microsoft is also known to be planning a facility here. Jakarta has seen significant announcements and planned capacity, several times the existing supply, from both hyperscale cloud service providers like Amazon and Microsoft, as well as a variety of local and international operators. Osaka continues to develop as an alternative data centre market in Japan complementing the more established Tokyo region.

The major cities of Hyderabad, New Delhi and Chennai are also registering rapid growth, with between 300MW to 400MW of IT capacity each. About two-thirds of this supply was added in the past couple of years, with around 50% of total supply planned or committed capacity. The increased investment in the data centre sector in recent years is party driven by government policy, including easier access to credit and other incentives to boost data centre investment. Active players in the market include local firms such as CtrlS, Sify Technologies, Nxtra by Airtel and Web Werks, joint ventures such as AdaniConnex and BAM Digital Realty, as well as cloud service providers.

In Southeast Asia, Taipei, Manila and Hanoi continue to see growing interest from hyperscale CSPs and data centre investors. AWS announced local zones in both Manila and Hanoi this year and is in the process of rolling them out, while the global firm also launched its local zone in Taipei in October 2022. Current key players in these markets mainly comprise the local telcos, with a handful of regional joint ventures such as STT-Globe in the Philippines and NTT-VNPT in Vietnam.

Overall, the expansion of data centre activity into the growth markets across the APAC region remain on a strong footing, reflecting the continued resilience of demand across each geography.

本報告原刊登於 https://app.dcbyte.com/knight-frank-data-centres-report/Q3-2022/