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Enough has been written about the impact of Budget 2023 on REITs and InvITs. Through this piece, Resolut Partners tries to succinctly capture the what, why, and what next of the proposed changes – keeping it germane mainly to global financial investors.

要点总结:

  • Distributions out of repayment of debt principal could now be taxed as ‘other income’ – at odds with global standards
  • Distributions out of debt repayments through redemption of units not treated as ‘income’, but reduce cost of acquisition – InvIT / REIT Regulations do not permit redemption of units
  • Major impact on IRRs as distribution structure of most InvITs factored in distributions through debt repayments
  • Changes and policy ambiguity could thwart the growth of REITs / InvITs, which were just about seen as ‘bond proxies’

利率上升使得购房者在进行房产交易时更加关注相关成本。对于国际买家而言,这些成本在不同地区可能存在显著差异。以房产价格的百分比表示,这些成本从中国城市的不到10%到新加坡的35%不等。.

在竞争日益激烈的市场中,新加坡政府对外国买家购买任何住宅物业的额外买家印花税 (ABSD) 维持在 30%。.

与其他地区相比,北美城市的房产持有成本在房产的购买、持有和出售总成本中占比很高。这些成本主要包括年度房产税和房屋保险。.

本报告最初发表于 https://www.savills.com/research_articles/255800/339112-0

尽管去年全球经历了快速变化和不确定性,但世邦魏理仕对2023年亚太商业地产市场仍保持相对乐观的展望。.

从经济角度来看,预计通货膨胀将会缓解,该地区的利率将在 2023 年下半年趋于稳定。.

受中国大陆经济复苏的推动,办公楼需求将保持稳健;而零售商将采取积极但谨慎的扩张方式。.

随着电子商务增长恢复正常,物流需求预计将会回落,而酒店业绩预计将超过疫情前水平。.

在资本市场,投资者将继续持观望态度,直到有确凿证据表明利率已经达到峰值,预计下半年购买活动将大幅增加。.

本报告最初发表于 https://www.cbre.com/insights/books/asia-pacific-real-estate-market-outlook-2023

过去五年,亚洲在FTSE EPRA/Nareit发达市场指数(全球最受关注的房地产指数)中的份额从2017年的25.0%下降到2022年底的21.0%。这一变化主要归因于美国房地产投资信托基金(REITs)的增长,进一步将上市房地产投资信托基金的权力平衡转移到北美,北美在该指数中的份额从2017年的57.1%上升到2022年的64.0%。.

美国房地产投资信托基金(REITs)领域的增长主要得益于经济结构转型和股权投资者强劲需求催生的众多另类房地产板块。这些另类板块在富时EPRA/Nareit发达市场指数美国部分的占比从2007年的34.0%上升至2017年的47.5%,并在2022年达到55.0%。.

美国上市 REIT 领域的增长非常显著,以至于像 FTSE 这样的指数编制者推出了上限指数,限制美国成分股的规模,以避免全球指数越来越被视为‘美国及其他’,从而降低其对投资者的实用性。.

有人可能会问:为什么亚洲另类房地产投资信托基金(REITs)的增长速度未能跟上美国的增长步伐?事实上,亚洲另类REITs的增长速度甚至超过了美国。尽管亚洲在全球REIT指数中的权重有所下降——从2017年的27.11万亿至2022年的21.01万亿至2022年——但亚洲另类REITs的权重却从全球指数的2.31万亿至3.8 ...

本文由 CenterSquare Investment Management 亚太区主管兼高级合伙人 Joachim Kehr 撰写,探讨了美国和亚洲另类 REIT 随着时间的推移而扩张背后的行业,并探索了哪些行业为亚洲另类 REIT 提供了最大的增长潜力,提出了维持这种增长的进一步措施。.

过去五年,亚洲在FTSE EPRA/Nareit发达市场指数(全球最受关注的房地产指数)中的份额从2017年的25.0%下降到2022年底的21.0%。这一变化主要归因于美国房地产投资信托基金(REITs)的增长,进一步将上市房地产投资信托基金的权力平衡转移到北美,北美在该指数中的份额从2017年的57.1%上升到2022年的64.0%。.

美国房地产投资信托基金(REITs)领域的增长主要得益于经济结构转型和股权投资者强劲需求催生的众多另类房地产板块。这些另类板块在富时EPRA/Nareit发达市场指数美国部分的占比从2007年的34.0%上升至2017年的47.5%,并在2022年达到55.0%。.

美国上市 REIT 领域的增长非常显著,以至于像 FTSE 这样的指数编制者推出了上限指数,限制美国成分股的规模,以避免全球指数越来越被视为‘美国及其他’,从而降低其对投资者的实用性。.

有人可能会问:为什么亚洲另类房地产投资信托基金(REITs)的增长速度未能跟上美国的增长步伐?事实上,亚洲另类REITs的增长速度甚至超过了美国。尽管亚洲在全球REIT指数中的权重有所下降——从2017年的27.11万亿至2022年的21.01万亿至2022年——但亚洲另类REITs的权重却从全球指数的2.31万亿至3.8 ...

本文由 CenterSquare Investment Management 亚太区主管兼高级合伙人 Joachim Kehr 撰写,探讨了美国和亚洲另类 REIT 随着时间的推移而扩张背后的行业,并探索了哪些行业为亚洲另类 REIT 提供了最大的增长潜力,提出了维持这种增长的进一步措施。.

经济

  • 新加坡这个小型开放型经济体在外部经济环境恶化的背景下,未来将面临诸多不利因素。然而,随着中国边境的重新开放以及国际旅行和旅游业的持续复苏,也存在一线希望。预计到2023年,新加坡国内生产总值(GDP)增速将放缓至0.51万亿至2.51万亿英镑。

办公室

  • 预计2023年优质写字楼租金将继续增长,但增速放缓。2023年市场环境趋于疲软,这可能为租户重新评估其办公需求提供契机。有意缩小办公面积的租户可以考虑升级到面积更小但品质更高的办公空间。.

工业的

  • 2023 年将有大量高科技产品进入市场,这将是租户评估自身空间需求并确保获得优质且位置优越的空间的绝佳时机。.
  • 预计2023年优质物流空间供应仍将紧张。对空间需求较大的物流企业应提前两年规划扩张计划,或考虑定制建造方案。.

零售

  • 2023年,所有细分市场的零售租金将进一步上涨,尤其是乌节路,预计这将受益于游客数量的增长。办公区域的客流量回升,也将刺激中央商务区零售的租赁需求。与此同时,在强劲的需求推动下,郊区市场的租金也将继续上涨。.

住宅

  • 自2021年以来,由于供应紧张和需求强劲,住宅租金经历了历史性的上涨。预计在2023年,随着竣工量的显著增加,这波持续上涨的租金势头将面临阻力。相应地,此前由强劲的经济增长和租金上涨支撑的价格涨幅,也将因经济前景疲软而放缓。.

资本市场

  • 尽管投资者情绪有所缓和,但由于其有利于商业发展的政策和稳定的政治环境,新加坡在2023年仍然是寻求把握东南亚增长潜力和/或实现投资组合多元化的投资者的首选投资目的地。.

本报告最初发表于 https://www.cbre.com.sg/insights/reports/2023-singapore-real-estate-market-outlook

As international container shipping increases, so does the need for more logistics real estate—especially in seaport markets. In this report, CBRE looks at 18 well-established and emerging seaports to understand their capabilities and connections to other ports, as well as how they influence nearby industrial real estate markets.

主要发现:

  • Ocean shipping keeps growing—more than 80% of the world’s merchandise trade by volume is seaborne, of which more than half is shipped in ocean containers—driving strong demand for logistics space near seaports.
  • E-commerce sales and holding more inventory to guard against supply chain disruptions are also spurring demand for industrial & logistics properties—especially those with strong transportation links to seaports.
  • Transportation costs are a paramount consideration in site selection, accounting for 45% to 70% of logistics spend, versus 3% to 6% for fixed facility costs like rent.
  • Ongoing risks—including persistent inflation, rising interest rates, geopolitical tensions and pandemic-related disruptions—are prompting companies to reevaluate supply chain strategies and locations.

本报告最初发表于 https://www.cbre.com/insights/reports/2022-global-seaport-review

《2023 年高力国际全球投资者展望》汇集了我们国际投资者客户群的全球调查结果,并由我们行业领先的研究团队进行技术分析,同时还提供了高力国际全球各市场高级专家的观点和见解。.

房地产市场绝非不受资本市场波动的影响。然而,显而易见的是,房地产的基本面依然强劲。投资者高度关注当前形势下各类资产所展现出的某些优势。.

正如报告所强调的,许多市场正在进行重新调整,我们预计这一趋势将持续到2023年。高力国际的共识是,随着利率前景更加明朗,全球房地产市场将在2023年年中开始趋于稳定。我们建议投资者将近期的趋势视为回归相对理性,而非经济衰退。.

本报告最初发表于 https://www.colliers.com/en-sg/research/2023-global-investor-outlook-apac-highlights

Real estate investors enter 2023 facing a very different investment landscape to the one they encountered at the beginning of 2022. Many property markets were still riding high this time last year. In 2021, they had delivered the strongest returns since before the 2008 global financial crisis (GFC), bouncing back from COVID-19-related weakness on the back of pent-up demand and a particularly buoyant industrial market. As 2022 progressed, however, that pent-up economic demand combined with exogenous supply shocks associated with the Russia-Ukraine war drove inflation to levels not seen in decades.

The future for real estate investing has not been so uncertain since the GFC, and this new environment presents many challenges for investors: Overall deal activity has plummeted as investors pause to reassess the risks they face and underwrite appropriately. While it is clear that sentiment is weak, this pause in activity levels means that pricing evidence is scarce; and for that reason, it will be important to triangulate from a range of data types and sources. Without the tailwind of compressing yields, returns will be driven more by occupier-market fundamentals — which, for office markets, are at a structural turning point. Understanding the interplay of rental growth, occupancy and expenses on delivered income across markets and property types will be key. These factors will be just a selection of the growing number of inputs that may drive asset performance in an increasingly complex investment environment. The ability to attribute risk and performance to a growing number of factors like yield and leasing profile, as well as exposure to more secular risks like climate change, will be increasingly important for investors.


阅读完整报告

The rush of post-pandemic activity in the data center space seen throughout 2021 continued in 2022, despite headwinds in the overall economy and resource challenges in some of the largest markets worldwide. Hyperscale tenants continued their relentless expansion across regions, with specific interest toward secondary and emerging markets. Co-location providers and developers have followed suit, driven by higher availability and lower prices for both power and land.

The 2023 Global Data Center Market Comparison reviews all factors outlined in the previous edition of this report, with further commentary on a region-by-region basis. As with previous editions, we assess data center markets across the globe, within 13 different categories, to determine the top overall markets along with the top performers in each category. With this fourth edition of the report, we hope to provide members of the data center community with a better understanding of how the industry is rapidly changing and expanding across the globe.