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整体净吸纳量在连续八个负值季度后反弹为正值

商业活动、写字楼租赁需求和租金的复苏,使得 2021 年第三季度的空置率表现进一步改善。整体净吸纳量回升至 70,900 平方英尺,自 2019 年第三季度以来首次出现正增长,整体空置率降至 10.4%。租金修正继续减速,整体租金环比下降 0.3%,而第二季度环比下降 1.6%。.

阅读最新的第三季度写字楼报告,了解该行业的表现以及对业主和租户的建议。.

本文最初发表于 https://www.colliers.com/

亚太地区市场投资活动活跃,为年终业绩的强劲表现奠定了基础。.

充足的流动性和宽松的限制措施激发了投资者的兴趣,支持了亚太地区房地产市场的强劲活动,为年底的强劲表现奠定了基础。.

亚太地区趋势和报告要点:

  • 澳大利亚 和 新西兰 随着主要城市摆脱长期的限制,投资者的乐观情绪和商业信心得以恢复,尤其是在办公楼市场。.
  • 香港 由于经济回暖提振了投资者的胃口,交易量实现了 20% 的环比增长。.
  • 投资活动 中国 在中国主要市场上,各类资产共完成了 20 多笔交易,交易总额约为 272 亿元人民币(42 亿美元)。.
  • 新加坡‘零售业在第三季度的投资活动中遥遥领先,总交易额达 75 亿新元(55 亿美元)。.
  • 韩国‘受首尔写字楼投资需求飙升的推动,本季度首尔写字楼市场十分活跃。.
  • 办公楼、多户住宅和物流部门 日本 在房地产投资信托价格回升至《19 世纪房地产投资信托协议》生效前水平的背景下,房地产投资信托继续吸引着投资者的强劲需求。.

下载以下报告,了解更多针对亚太地区投资者的专家建议。联系方式 唐俊 和 约翰-马拉斯科 了解亚太地区资本市场的更多主要趋势和机遇。.

本文最初发表于 https://www.colliers.com/en-in/

Market softening continues

The rapid vaccine rollout, increasing corporate profits, and limited supply should give the market some much needed breathing room.

  • The lukewarm market sentiment continued to weigh on office rents and vacancy in the central five wards (C5W) this quarter.
  • Average Grade A office market rents in the C5W fell 2.2% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) and 8.2% year-on-year (YoY), and now stand at JPY34,370 per tsubo per month.
  • The average Grade A office vacancy rate in the C5W increased by 0.8 percentage points (ppts) QoQ and 1.8ppts YoY to 2.5% in Q3/2021.
  • Average large-scale Grade B office rents declined to JPY26,106 per tsubo per month – a contraction of 2.5% QoQ and 8.4% YoY.
  • The average vacancy rate in the Grade B market loosened by 0.5ppts QoQ and 2.3ppts YoY to 3.3%.
  • With the rapid vaccination rollout, strong corporate profit growth and limited supply until 2023, market sentiment should begin to stabilise or even improve.
  • The poor performance of less accessible and older offices remains a drag on the office market overall. Meanwhile, tenant preferences for easily accessible and new offices persist.

本文最初发表于 https://www.savills.com.hk/

租金继续下滑

虽然租金走低,但入住率却在缓慢恢复。.

  • 本季度,东京 23 区(23W)的租金环比下降 0.91TP3,同比下降 3.61TP3,降至每平方米 3,929 日元。.
  • 本季度,中心五区(C5W)的中档市场平均租金略有下降,目前为每平方米 4,661 日元,环比下降 0.21 吨,同比下降 3.61 吨。.
  • C5W 溢价上升至 17.9%,比 2021 年第二季度上升了 0.3 个百分点。.
  • 在 C5W 区,15-30 平方米面积段单位的平均租金在本季度再次下降。然而,30-45 平方米面积段的租金却出现了小幅上涨。.
  • 23W 的平均占用率上升了 0.2 个百分点,达到 95.6%。C5W 也有类似的增长,上升了 0.2 个百分点,达到 94.5%。.
  • C5W 区的人口有所减少,原因是年轻家庭似乎更喜欢较大的单元。.

本文最初发表于 https://www.savills.com.hk/

复苏仍遥不可及

在大体稳定的市场中,中环出现了一些租赁活动迹象,而餐饮业再次成为业主的首选行业。.

  • 第三季度市场相对稳定,零售业情绪疲软,而餐饮业仍是难得的亮点。.
  • 外出就餐或 ‘美食之旅 ’已成为当地人的 ‘新假期’,为所有价位的餐饮业提供了支持。.
  • 核心地段的租赁活动基本保持低迷,只有中环因依赖本地高端需求而继续受益。.
  • 优质街铺和大型购物中心的租金已趋于稳定,季度增长率分别为 0.4% 和 1.2%。.

本文最初发表于 https://www.savills.com.hk/

租金继续全面下降

九龙区的租金降幅较小,在去年年底积极调整租金后,空置率逐渐被消化。. 

  • 2021 年第三季度甲级写字楼租金下降了 1.5%,而 2021 年第二季度则下降了 2.6%。.
  • 中环写字楼市场与其他市场一样受到不利因素的影响,但尽管如此,我们还是看到了一些有选择性的扩张需求,以及内地金融机构和新行业租户的新租约。.
  • 在不确定的环境中,服务式办公室大受欢迎,我们注意到核心商业区的大型运营商对服务式办公室的需求有所增加。.
  • 九龙区的租金跌幅较小,空置率逐渐被消化,尤其是尖沙咀和九龙东。.
  • 第三季度的空置率继续攀升至 9.3%,北角和九龙西等部分地区的写字楼空置率较高。.
  • 一些黄金地段即将推出的房源已被提前预订。.
  • 随着中环的租金相对于其他市场的溢价缩小,分散的租金可能会反过来受到压力。展望未来,在前景不明朗和供应增加的情况下,中国企业在未来 12 至 24 个月内的需求将在很大程度上取决于此。.

本文最初发表于 https://www.savills.com.hk/

Investors remain engaged

Logistics leasing activity levels revived in Q3 with operators opting to renewal in order to minimize business disruption, while those with expansion needs were looking for relocation options.

  • The revival of the local trading and retail sectors has meant that many logistics operators were keen to renew leases to avoid business disruption, while those with expansion demand chose to relocate. 
  • Overall and modern warehouse rents continued to rebound by 2.1% and 2.5% in Q3/2021 respectively, while both overall and modern warehouse vacancy rates fell to 3.2% and 2.6% over the same quarter, after a small spike last quarter.
  • Investment sentiment continued to revive in Q3 with 17 major deals of over HK$100 million concluded worth a total of over HK$7.3 billion.  While investment funds were still keen on the high yield logistics sector, we note more participation from logistics operators (for eventual owner-occupation) and developers (for redevelopment).
  • With local and global supply chains both expected to continue to rebound, short-term logistics demand seems to be sustainable. Nevertheless, a total of 7 million sq ft of new warehouse space is scheduled to come on stream over the next two years, so far with little pre-commitment, and this will test market resolve when it arrives in 2022 and 2023. 
  • The robust investment sentiment for warehouse assets so far this year has already pushed prices up and yields down.  With Revitalization Policy 2.0 extended for another three years, we expect industrial investment to refocus more on run-down industrial premises with redevelopment potential.

本文最初发表于 https://www.savills.com.hk/

  • 根据贸工部(MTI)2021 年第二季度经济调查,2021 年第二季度新加坡经济同比增长 14.7%。经季节性调整后,2021 年第二季度新加坡经济实际收缩了 1.8%,而 2021 年第一季度则录得 3.3% 的季度同比增长。.
  • 由于半导体制造商和支持电子公司的分包商从全球芯片短缺中获益,制造业继续推动新加坡的经济复苏。精密工程和电子产业群分别录得 24.3% 和 18.3% 的同比增长。这些数字被运输工程和化工产业集群的显著增长所掩盖,这两个产业集群分别录得 29.6% 和 20.1% 的同比增长,尽管这主要是 2020 年低基数效应的结果。.

本文最初发表于 https://www.knightfrank.com/

  • Prices of non-landed private residential properties (excluding Executive Condominiums (ECs)) grew by a marginal 0.5% quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) in Q3 2021** to 159.6, with transactions in the Rest of Central Region (RCR) being the main contributor to the rise. The quarterly increase was moderated when compared to Q1 and Q2 2021, where the index grew by 2.5% and 1.1% respectively.
  • There were 7,103 non-landed private homes (excluding ECs) transactions in Q3 2021*, a slight 1.4% decrease q-o-q. While both Q2 and Q3 2021 included periods where Singapore was in or reverted to Phase 2 (Heightened Alert), quarterly sales volume largely held up above a respectable 7,000 units. Especially when compared to an average of about 4,162 units during the pre-pandemic year of 2019*.

本文最初发表于 https://www.knightfrank.com/

  • 随着房地产市场交易步伐的普遍加快,第三季度录得约 $75 亿吨的投资交易,其中 49.7% 来自公共部门的交易。这一交易量与上一季度的 54 亿吨相比,环比增长了 38.71 吨,与去年同期的 48 亿吨相比,同比增长了 58.11 吨。.
  • 第三季度的投资额主要来自于四块政府土地出让(GLS)地块的销售,其中滨海景观储备地块以 15 亿新元的价格成交,成为土地出让金额最高的地块,其次是 Jalan Anak Bukit 地块,成交价为 10 亿新元。随着近期某些GLS招标的疯狂竞价,其他渴望土地的开发商可能会将注意力转移到不同地点的小面积地块所提供的更大多样性上,如业主正试图集体出售的更容易接受数量的地块。Flynn Park 集体出售交易的成交价为 $.71 亿新元,即每平方英亩 1,355 新元,鉴于许多业主都热衷于集体出售其老化的单位,这可能会在整块市场上引起连锁反应。因此,售价在 S1TP4.6 亿或以下、约 600 个单位的项目可能会找到愿意购买的买家。.

本文最初发表于 https://www.knightfrank.com/