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資料中心:全球經濟的重要基礎設施:基金經理的成長機會與營運挑戰
SS&C 的白皮書


世界充斥著數據。據估計,人類每天產生 2.5 百萬億位元組的資料。據報導,世界上的資料量每兩年就會增加一倍,而全球現有的資料中,估計有 90% 是在過去兩年中產生的。.

所有這些資料都需要居住和工作的地方,這有助於解釋全球資料中心迅速激增的原因。根據分析公司 Synergy Research 的資料,截至 2019 年底,全球共有超過 500 個「超大型」資料中心,而且這個數字還在持續攀升。據房地產服務公司 JLL 估計,截至 2020 年年中,全球共有 6,340 萬英呎的數據中心面積,另有 430 萬英呎在建。.

SS&C 透過簡化作業、降低風險、改善客戶體驗和提高可見度來幫助客戶管理其投資。SS&C 在全球擁有 500 多家房地產和私募基金客戶,管理的資產總額超過 $754B,在服務開放式和封閉式房地產、基礎設施、硬資產、債務和混合基金方面擁有豐富經驗,專長於複雜的基金管理、中間辦公室和數據服務以及虛擬數據室。我們的技術可實現並確保資訊的流通,使我們的客戶能夠更有效率地工作,並對我們充滿信心。我們擁有全球最大的 GPs 和 LPs 社群,共有來自 57,000 多個捐贈基金、基金會、退休金、顧問和諮詢師的 240,000 多人使用 Intralinks。.

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無論發生什麼,房地產投資者都需要具有創新精神和適應能力,制定與這些結構性變化相適應的投資策略。.

新冠疫情已將世界推入有史以來最動盪的時期之一。黃金價格屢創新高,股市波動劇烈,全球各國政府公債殖利率依然低迷。然而,即便在這樣的背景下,我們預測房地產投資仍將保持吸引力,這得益於其波動性低於其他資產類別、長期直接投資帶來的豐厚回報歷史,以及至關重要的——在全球601萬億只債券收益率低於11萬億,超過1萬億隻債券收益率為負的情況下,房地產投資依然能夠創造收益。.

對服務業而言,國內輔助人員隊伍的壯大將帶動辦公空間需求的成長。製造業、倉儲業和服務業的在地化就業成長也將提升對其他類型房地產(包括住宅和醫療保健房地產)的需求。此外,國際房地產投資也將迎來間接機會。作為在地化程度提高的替代方案,跨國房地產投資能夠提供全球多元化投資機會,並為實現收入目標提供更多選擇。.

民族主義和貿易戰的興起早已初露端倪,疫情導致的商業活動中斷和海外旅行受限,只會加速這一趨勢。這引發了關於「回流」(將海外業務遷回國內)、「在岸化」(將供應鏈轉移到國內)和「近岸化」(將業務轉移到離家更近的地方)的討論。某些類型的房地產市場也將因此蓬勃發展。物流業面臨額外的用工需求,轉化為更強勁的投資需求。.

這為《財富報告》的讀者帶來了諸多機遇,例如全球人口結構向著更長壽、更健康生活趨勢發展所帶來的投資潛力(我們在第10頁的深度訪談中對此進行了詳細探討),以及具有前瞻性的房地產投資者和房東如何利用人們對能夠提升生產力的「健康」辦公空間的需求獲利(我們在第76頁對此進行了討論)。同時,「回饋社會」對於超高淨值人士群體而言也日益重要,我們在第86頁介紹了三位傑出的慈善家,他們的善舉惠及了許多不同的事業。.

作為《財富報告》的核心支柱之一,我們獨有的財富規模模型(詳見第18頁)顯示,全球財富持續成長,尤其是在亞洲經濟中心。私人資本的成長正對全球房地產市場產生顯著影響。.

疫情對主要零售市場造成了嚴重衝擊,租金波動幅度從雅加達的-41.61兆至廣州的+2.61兆不等。在雅加達,由於嚴格的社交隔離措施和商場營業時間限制,業主面臨租金減免的壓力,許多業主將租金削減了一半。在中國,零售客流量恢復,廣州和上海的租金分別上漲了2.61萬億和0.51萬億,而北京和深圳的租金則分別下降了2.81萬億和1.51萬億。越南零售市場表現出韌性,2020年第四季商品和服務零售總額較上季成長5.61兆。胡志明市和河內的租金分別上漲了2.11兆和0.11兆。. 

物流市場展現出極強的韌性,並將繼續成為該地區的焦點,租賃市場波動幅度從上海的-0.41兆噸到新加坡的+7.31兆噸不等。疫情加速了零售業向線上轉型,物流資產成為主要受益者。在新加坡,大多數倉庫已滿載運轉,傳統廠房空間也出現了一些溢出需求。在中國,受國內消費和電子商務成長的推動,對現代化物流設施的需求正在迅速擴張。北京(+0.71兆噸)、上海(-0.41兆噸)、深圳(+2.41兆噸)和廣州(+3.01兆噸)都已進入早期上漲階段。.

Hong Kong Island Grade-A office leasing demand remained soft in December amid weak economic conditions and the traditional offseason, but the overall market was buoyed by the professional sector, particularly the finance and legal service industries, which took up space in premium buildings in the CBD area. Two Chinese Mainland financial companies, the Bank of Dongguan and FountainVest Partners, leased an entire floor in Two IFC, which was previously occupied by Nomura Holdings. Medical companies also expanded their footprint in the core districts. A medical centre leased the entire top floor of 9 Queen’s Road Central to meet the increasing demand for healthcare and wellbeing. Given the weak economic situation, some tenants gave up more office space. With the current high vacancy rate of 7.8% on Hong Kong Island, we expect some landlords to soften their approach and be more willing to negotiate.

Kowloon Leasing activity in Kowloon continued to slow down in December. New lease transactions dropped by 20% on a monthly basis. Most of the leasing activity was in Kowloon East, at monthly rents below HK$25 per sq ft. While most industries have been largely affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, the logistics industry has remained strong and is one of the winners. Some logistics companies have taken advantage of this golden opportunity in the downbeat market to expand and upgrade their work environment and location. A recent notable example was the relocation of logistics giant DHL. It moved out of Megabox and took up a 91,015 sq ft space in the premium Grade A office International Trade Tower in Kwun Tong, making it the largest new lease acquisition in the market so far in 2020.After reviewing its office requirements, DHL chose to reconfigure its work pattern and adopt agile work practices to achieve workplace size optimisation. Curtailed by the pandemic and economic uncertainty, tenants will continue to be cost-sensitive and seek cost-effective options in Kowloon. Given the approach of the traditional festive season and the continuing unstable COVID-19 situation, we expect leasing demand to remain soft and the current low-level leasing volume to last until at least Lunar New Year.

In this January 2021 issue, we take a look at the latest updates on the local commercial real estate market as well as share an outlook for the sector in 2021.

  • While the gradual return to office is expected this year, the office segment may not immediately return to its pre-pandemic vibrancy as the uncertain global business environment may continue to affect expansion decisions of businesses over the short to medium term. The office segment, however, is seen to benefit from the anticipated growth of the IT-BPM sector with the United States’ less protectionist policies under its new administration.
  • The new COVID-19 variant has caused renewed anxiety and further stalls the resumption of international travel. It is also seen to discourage domestic travel as the country extends the more stringent community quarantine qualification in major urban areas and tourist destinations, thus, further blurring the tourism industry outlook.

Q4 2020 was a crucial quarter as it marked a recovery momentum with leasing indicators trending favourably compared to the previous couple of quarters. In a time of change with COVID upending the workplace playbook, the leasing trends and occupier strategies are undergoing a rapid shift and will have a bearing on market activity. Even as the COVID scenario was evolving and occupiers continued with evaluating their real estate portfolios and charting their space requirements, almost all the cities saw heightened levels of market activity with expansion driven demand making a comeback of sorts as well.  Mumbai, Pune, Delhi NCR, Ahmedabad, and Kolkata have witnessed higher fresh leasing activity for expansion and consolidation during the last quarter of the year. This augurs well for the leasing momentum in 2021, which is likely to get broad-based across cities with introduction of a vaccine and a gradual return to the workplace providing the much-needed push to market activity. 

In this report, we analyse the Indian office markets’ performance in Q4 as well as during the full year of 2020.  

Although office leasing activity was generally more muted in Q4 compared to other quarters in the year, it was broadly similar to Q4/2019 levels.

• Demand for office space largely emanated from tenants looking for replacement space because of the need to move out of older buildings to be redeveloped, as well as tenants with office leases due for renewal.

• Owing to the uncertainties arising from the pandemic, tenants are continuing to adopt a wait-and-see approach and looking for clarity on trends to emerge on future workplace practices before deciding on future office space requirements.

• In Q4, the office market saw relatively significant leasing deals from technology companies. These companies are expected to continue expanding their presence in Singapore, which they deem as an attractive base due to its political stability, strategic position and strong economic fundamentals.

永續性與 ESG 議題現在比以往任何時候都更受到全球不同利益相關者(包括員工、客戶、供應商、社區、投資者和監管者)的關注。在 Covid-19 大流行的部分驅動下,員工健康與安全、供應鏈適應力和企業文化成為關注焦點,同時,氣候風險對聲譽的影響以及對企業價值創造的相關影響也日益受到關注。.


繼 ESG 網路研討會 在 2020 年 10 月由 DFIN(當納利財務方案)、SGX RegCo 和業界領導者共同舉辦的 「可持續發展 」論壇上,DFIN 的公司治理服務總監 John Truzzolino 繼續與 City Developments Limited (CDL) 的首席可持續發展官 Esther An 進行對話。Esther 是綠色建築和可持續發展的積極倡導者,她於 2008 年率先在新加坡出版了第一份採用 GRI 標準的可持續發展報告。如今,CDL 在 2020 年全球最具可持續性企業 100 強中名列前茅。.

請觀賞完整訪談內容,瞭解 CDL 的永續發展歷程,並聽聽 Esther 對企業的建議,包括如何在後大流行病時代推動氣候變遷的準備工作、改善投資人溝通,以及創造對決策有用的資訊揭露。.

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