APREA Logo

Knowledge Hub

Artificial intelligence (AI) represents the latest in a long line of general‑purpose technologies. Like electrification, computing and the internet before it, its economic and built environment impacts will unfold gradually, unevenly and nonlinearly.

Rather than attempting to predict how AI itself will evolve, this research focuses on how firms, sectors and the macroeconomy will respond to AI – and how those responses will translate into CRE fundamentals, including: 

  • Productivity, growth and interest rates 
  • Employment trends and space demand 
  • Vacancy and absorption for major CRE sectors 
  • Capital markets behavior 
  • Differentiation in performance across assets and geographies 

Why this matters: The future of commercial real estate will depend less on AI’s technical capabilities and more on how productivity gains flow through hiring, revenue growth and capital allocation – dynamics tracked in real time by the AI Impact Barometer.

The APAC office fit-out market enters 2026 navigating a complex and shifting environment. While cost escalation moderated in several markets through late 2025, underlying pressures remain firmly in place, with local-currency fit-out costs continuing to rise across much of the region due to labour constraints, material pricing, and the growing complexity of mechanical, electrical, and technology systems. However, this inflationary trend is not consistently reflected in USD-denominated benchmarks, where currency depreciation in several APAC economies has dampened apparent year-on-year cost growth, creating a divergence with important implications for regional and global capital planning.

Please find below the rebalancing results (effective 22 June 2026 start of trading) for the:

  • GPR/APREA Investable 100 Index
  • GPR/APREA Investable REIT 100 Index
  • GPR/APREA Composite Index
  • GPR/APREA Composite REIT Index (indicated with an asterisk)

GPR/APREA Investable 100 Index

INCLUSIONS

CHNGreater Bay Area AI Computingtech Co., Limited
CHNShenzhen Investment Limited
JPNGlobal One REIT
JPNHeiwa Real Estate Co.

EXCLUSIONS

AUSIngenia Communities Group
JPNJapan Logistics Fund
PHLSM Prime Holdings
TWNKindom Development Co., Limited


GPR/APREA Investable REIT 100 Index

INCLUSIONS

JPNNippon Hotel & Residential Investment Corp.
KORKorea Real Estate Investment & Trust Co., Limited
KORLOTTE REIT

EXCLUSIONS

AUSAbacus Storage King
SGPCDL Hospitality Trusts

GPR/APEA Composite Index

INCLUSIONS

HKGLangham Hospitality Investments Limited

EXCLUSIONS

CHNChina Agri-Products Exchange Limited
IDNPT PP (Persero) Tbk
KORDongwon Development Co Limited
THAFuture City Leasehold REIT *
THAPruska Holding PCL
TWNShanyuan Co Limited
TWNWe & Win Development Co Limited

KEY TAKEAWAYS

  • The number of units launched moderated in Q1/2026, contracting nearly 30.0% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) to 1,844 units. This brought new sales to decline by 31.5% QoQ to 2,013 units.
  • Secondary sales slowed by 9.6% QoQ to 3,400 units in Q1/2026. This may be due to fewer new home completions, uncertainty in interest rate direction and homebuyers turning to the new sales market.
  • Total non-landed residential sales declined, with transactions by Singaporeans and Singapore permanent residents (PRs) recording doubledigit decreases. On the other hand, purchases by foreigners rebounded with a 7.2% growth to 89 units.
  • For Savills’ basket of luxury nonlanded private residential projects, prices inched up 0.2% QoQ to S$2,644 per sq ft in Q1/2026.
  • Much of the island has already experienced price resets during the 2024–2025 period. As such, it may take one to two years before another broad-based price re-benchmarking occurs. We therefore maintain our forecast for private residential prices to increase by approximately 3% in 2026

Accelerated growth, as outlined in the 2025 edition of this report, is no longer the most accurate descriptor of this dynamic and rapidly evolving global market. A more precise characterization is managed growth. Governments worldwide are rewriting the rules to ensure that new data center development does not overburden existing resources, particularly the power grid, and to address concerns associated with the industry’s expansion.

The global data centre market remains dominated by cloud and corporate usage, with AI contributing less than 15% of total workload as of 2025. With most AI demand now concentrated in the U.S., the ratio in Asia Pacific is even smaller.

Southeast Asia’s real assets markets continue to present compelling opportunities as supply-chain diversification, digitalisation, and AI-driven demand reshape capital flows across the region. Investors are increasingly targeting high-growth sectors such as logistics, industrial assets, data centres, and hospitality, with Vietnam, Malaysia, Indonesia, and the Philippines emerging as key beneficiaries of manufacturing expansion, tourism recovery, and digital infrastructure investment. Even amid geopolitical uncertainty and elevated borrowing costs, resilient domestic demand, infrastructure development, and the search for stable long-term income are reinforcing Southeast Asia’s position as an attractive destination for global capital.

  • China’s commercial REIT market is entering a new phase of growth, driven by policy support, expanding asset classes, and increasing emphasis on institutional-grade asset management and value creation.
  • A multi-level REIT ecosystem is taking shape, with institutional and private REITs playing a critical role in capital recycling, operational enhancement, and the maturation of income-generating assets.
  • China’s real estate investment landscape is undergoing a structural reset, with domestic capital, selective deployment strategies, and REIT-based exit pathways becoming increasingly central to market recovery and long-term resilience.
  • High-growth sectors such as data centres, renewable energy, and experience-led retail are reshaping China’s real assets market, supported by technology adoption, evolving consumer behaviour, and the transition toward cleaner energy infrastructure.
  • The C-REIT ecosystem is evolving toward a more operationally driven and institutionally scaled model, with opportunities emerging from distressed assets, urban renewal, and professional asset management. 

APREA Investor Compass featuring Jericho P. Go (RL Commercial REIT Inc.)

Highlights:

  • Real Assets, Real People: Jericho P. Go, President and CEO, RL Commercial REIT Inc. (RCR)
  • TrendWatch: Political Stability and Structural Demand Power Japan’s Next Real Estate Cycle
  • ESG Buzz: How Nature-Based Solutions Future-Proof Asia Pacific Real Assets

Q1 2026 opened against one of the most severe global supply chain disruptions in recent memory. The US-Israel military campaign against Iran, launched in late February, triggered the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly 20% of the world’s seaborne oil and LNG volumes transit, with major carriers including Maersk, CMA CGM and Hapag-Lloyd suspending operations through the strait entirely. Shipping companies were forced to reroute vessels, delay deliveries or suspend operations, causing a slower and materially more expensive global supply chain. Against this backdrop, the Indian rupee depreciated approximately 9% over FY 2026, reaching around INR 93.88 per USD. Sustained dollar demand from oil importers widened the current account deficit and raised landed costs for USD-denominated freight and equipment procurement, compressing margins across the logistics sector. Yet India’s macroeconomic foundations held firm. FY 2026 real GDP growth forecast came in at 7.6%, outperforming expectations, and the RBI has projected FY 2027 growth at 6.9%, supported by strong services sector activity, robust domestic consumption and ongoing GST rationalisation benefits, even as the RBI flagged downside risks from further geopolitical escalation.

Against this backdrop, industrial and warehousing activity remained buoyant, driven primarily by Manufacturing and Third-Party Logistics (3PL) occupiers, reinforcing India’s position as a resilient and strategically located hub for regional supply-chain diversification. Occupier activity continued to strengthen despite the volatile macroeconomic environment, with leasing volumes reaching 1.8 mn sq m (19.3 mn sq ft) in Q1 2026, reflecting a 15% YoY increase. Notably, this marks the second-highest quarterly transaction volume recorded since the beginning of 2023, underscoring sustained occupier confidence and strong underlying market momentum.