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This guide gives a brief comparative overview of certain key insights to the real estate industry in Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Lao PDR, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam.

The novel coronavirus outbreak began in mid-Dec 2019 in the seventh-largest city of China – Wuhan, home to over 11 million people and the capital of Hubei province. The first suspected cases were reported on 31 December 2019, and to date, over 40,000 infections have been confirmed with a death toll of over 900. While scientists do not know how lethal the new coronavirus is, they agreed the virus is spreading more like influenza than Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (“SARS”) and Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (“MERS”). 

  • The novel coronavirus outbreak, first reported from Wuhan city in Hubei province, central China, represents a new downside risk for the regional economy.
  • The first case of the coronavirus, now formally named COVID-19 by the World Health Organization, was reported on Dec. 31, 2019, and there have since been multiple developments with the virus and much speculation on the impacts.
  • To help better understand the current and future impact on commercial real estate in key markets in Asia Pacific, Cushman & Wakefield has compiled their initial guidance and analysis in our Potential Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Commercial Real Estate in Asia Pacific report, which you click the Download button below.

In this challenging time as COVID-19 impacts workplace operations globally, we break down how occupiers can engage with flexible workspace operators, as both a near-term business continuity solution and longer-term way of working for enterprises. We also set out steps for flexible workspace operators on how to maintain operations and protect the health and wellbeing of members at this time.

We expect a global economic recession to eventuate. The key question is how quickly the economy bounces back. This mostly depends on how rapidly COVID-19 is contained. We believe that real estate in general will see strong investor support in the medium term due to the increased need for yield alternatives given record low bond yields on one hand, and, even if the equity market bounces back, a desire for stable asset classes on the other.

The first couple of months of 2020 have been dominated by fears of the novel coronavirus’s impact on global economies and property markets. Historically, investors tend to become more cautious in their investment choices during periods of heightened uncertainty, and this year has been no exception in the Asia Pacific region. However, a closer analysis of Real Capital Analytics data shows that investor risk aversion had already been growing over the prior months.

For commercial real estate, the price declines needed to inspire buyers to come back to the market need not be as extreme as the 22% drop in the RCA CPPI seen from ’07 to ’10 during the Global Financial Crisis. Consider the office market in Manhattan in 2017. The top of the bidder pool disappeared as Chinese investors stepped away from the market and office sales plummeted as buyers and sellers wondered where the bottom would be found. A 20 bps change in cap rates, though, was enough to inspire buyers to come off the sidelines.

Please find below the constituent changes to the GPR/APREA Indices, which will become effective as of 23 March 2020 (start of trading):

在全球金融危机之后(2009年及之后)开始投资 的基金所获得的回报(从净内部收益率和净倍数 来看)都比之前的基金大得多。较新年份的基金 仍处于其基金生命的早期,因此这些年份的数字 可能会随着基金的成熟而发生变化。
 

  • COVID-19: Comparable to GFC shock and bigger, but unlike GFC, is a socio-biological calamity-driven stress and  has  engulfed the entire world. Damage is physical and psychological.
  • Global economic decline projected in upcoming quarters- loss of investor confidence, consumption slowdown, loss of jobs (World GDP growth could even fall to 0% in initial two quarters of 2020, on the lower side*).
  • Post COVID-19, however, the world to witness large-scale transformation and business boost.