Thought Leadership

In the first half of 2024, Asia Pacific’s data center markets reached nearly 12GW in operational capacity, adding 1.3GW of new supply, marking the largest recent increase. Demand matched this growth, signaling healthy market conditions. The region has 4.2GW under construction and 12.0GW in planning, a 2.8GW rise since the end of 2023. The top six markets—Chinese Mainland (4.2GW), Japan (1.4GW), India (1.4GW), Australia (1.2GW), Singapore (0.98GW), and South Korea (0.65GW)—account for 85% of the total capacity. Malaysia (Johor) led in growth with an 80% rise, followed by India at 28%. Both nations also show strong development pipelines. Japan, India, and Australia are seeing increased investment from cloud service providers and colocation players, with their overall capacities projected to reach 4GW or more. Chinese Mainland leads with 6.5GW, while South Korea’s growth remains modest due to regulatory changes. Across the region, policies focus on energy efficiency, innovative technologies, and carbon footprint reduction to support ongoing expansion.

As we navigate the dynamic landscape of India’s commercial real estate market, it is evident that the industry has shown remarkable resilience and growth, even in the wake of global economic challenges. The impressive GDP growth projections for FY 2025 and beyond underscore India’s position as the fastest-growing major economy. This economic vitality is a catalyst for the office space market, driving occupier activity and creating a buoyant environment for growth.

The commercial real estate industry stands at a pivotal juncture, with unique opportunities to realign and reinvent workspaces. Occupiers are now looking beyond basic amenities to focus on employee well-being, and flexible office space operators are well-positioned to meet these evolving demands. The industry’s ability to provide customized, flexible office solutions is increasingly favoured by not just freelancers and startups, but also by medium and large enterprises.

The growth and resilience of India’s office space market is evident from the sustained increase in transactions and the rising share of flex spaces. Flex space operators are expanding in Tier 1 cities and venturing into Tier 2 cities, reflecting the diverse and growing market needs of the occupier landscape.

The industry’s evolution from coworking spaces to managed offices reflects its ability to adapt and thrive in changing business environments. Furthermore, the integration of ESG principles and emerging technologies into operations underscores its commitment to sustainability and operational efficiency. These initiatives not only enhance user experience but also align with the strategic priorities of modern businesses.

Flex space operators are not only ready for the future but are actively shaping it. Investments in technology, ESG initiatives, and flexible offerings position them to meet the demands of today’s discerning occupiers. With India’s robust economic growth and the industry’s innovative approach, the future looks promising.

From ‘Wait and See’ to ‘See the Money’

The real estate sector stands on the edge of a generative AI revolution – one that could unlock up to US$180 billion annually, according to McKinsey. Yet, many are still stuck in the ‘wait and see’ mindset. What’s holding them back? Yardi’s Bernie Devine puts it bluntly: “When it comes to GenAI, it’s time to shrug off the hesitation and start seeing the money.”

Many real estate companies use analytical artificial intelligence to evaluate trends, assess performance, optimise portfolios, manage risks and much more. But generative AI (GenAI) “helps real estate companies to make the leap from predictive to proactive intelligence,” says Bernie, Yardi’s Senior Regional Director for Asia Pacific.

“GenAI doesn’t just analyse the world; it actively shapes it by redefining how we think about problem-solving and creativity,” Bernie says.

What’s stopping real estate companies from adopting the technology at speed and scale? “The same old roadblocks” – concerns about upfront investment costs, uncertainties about existing system integration, knowledge and skills gaps, employee resistance to change, and demand for specialised expertise among them. “Throw in privacy and security concerns, and many real estate companies are taking a ‘wait and see’ approach.”

But the potential productivity uplifts are too big to ignore. Goldman Sachs suggests widespread adoption of GenAI could boost global gross domestic product by 1.3% annually, through labour productivity benefits that free up human resources for higher-value tasks. In developed markets, a 1.5% growth in GDP is within reach.

Given this potential, the question is clear: What should real estate asset managers prioritise next to leverage the transformative power of GenAI? Yardi’s latest whitepaper, Asset Management in the Generative Age, offers some insights.

“GenAI doesn’t just analyse data. It demands decisions, and this influx of choices can lead to decision overload,” Bernie says. Adopting GenAI quickly, therefore, requires a strategic approach. “Start with clean data and robust foundational systems and processes to enhance transparency and trust. Get the data platform and governance right and the benefits will begin to follow.”

While GenAI is a powerful tool, it’s not the only solution. For GenAI to live up to its potential and generate real business value, it must be firmly rooted in trusted enterprise data.

“Sometimes the most effective solution to a problem lies in process change – streamlining workflows, optimising operational procedures or implementing new management practices.

“At other times, the answer might be to bolster education and training, improve communication channels or revisit strategic goals. Whatever the problem, it is better solved in partnership.”

Amid a range of cyclical and structural headwinds, including increased adoption of hybrid working arrangements, a slowdown in global economic growth and elevated interest rates, investor preferences for sectors such as office and logistics have weakened over the past few years. In contrast, fundamentals in the region’s living sector have remained robust, and this has spurred stronger investor interest in multifamily and other living-related asset types.

Since 2019, the living sector has accounted for just 6% of Asia Pacific commercial real estate investment volumes, compared to 44% in the US and 27% in Europe over the same period. This suggests that the development of the living sector is at a relatively nascent stage in Asia Pacific, with plenty of room for growth.

Japan, Australia and mainland China are Asia Pacific’s largest markets in terms of investment volumes in the living sector, while interest is growing in Hong Kong SAR and Singapore, particularly for more niche co-living and student housing subtypes.

There are a number of demand drivers making the living sector ripe for investment: Asia Pacific is home to a diverse landscape of investable residential assets, and the mobile population is generally trending upward over the long term. Challenges around home ownership affordability may push more buyers to the rental market, while rental growth can also provide investors with a hedge against inflation in the long run.

This report explores the investment trends and growth opportunities in the Asia Pacific living sector, and analyses the opportunities and challenges, investment trends and yields, and supply and vacancy metrics in key living sector markets such as Japan, Australia, mainland China, Hong Kong and Singapore.

Conservation shophouses have emerged as one of the top alternative real estate asset class over the past decade in Singapore. Besides their finite supply and vintage charm, they are among the few asset classes in Singapore that allow foreigners and companies to own boutique buildings at a palatable quantum.

Transaction volumes hit a peak of $1.9 bn in 2021 before declining on high financing costs, record price points and most recently, overhang from the $3 bn money laundering case. CBRE Research believes the underlying fundamentals for shophouses remain solid, notwithstanding certain challenges in the near term.

This report looks at the past, present and future for conservation shophouses, and recommends actionable strategies for investors.

The beginning of this year saw occupiers in Australia exhibit a more cautious approach due to the sharp rental increases witnessed over the past two years and an increase in new supply. However, demand has picked up in Q2 2024 and the number of transactions is set to increase over the next three to six months.​

In Japan, logistics demand is holding firm in regional cities. After putting expansion plans on hold six months ago, many occupiers are now moving ahead with leasing new space. However, rising vacancy is prompting landlords to fill space as soon as possible to tenants from any sector.​

Sentiment in Vietnam remains positive, backed by the government’s success in boosting the country’s ties with key trading partners, which continues to lure manufacturers from these countries to set up production bases. Factory space continues to attract strong demand, led by the electronics and automotive sectors along with traditional commodities.​

Despite the current subdued mood in mainland China, optimism is building for an eventual recovery. Several major brands have been seen seeking opportunities to optimise store networks in what is still a tenant-favoured market. Many retailers are looking to operate in a network emphasising one major flagship store per city.

Korea continues to witness a solid rebound in international visitor arrivals, which is driving up consumption and leasing demand. More demand for pop-up stores has been observed in emerging commercial districts including Seongsu, Hannam, and Dosan Park due to tight availability.

Vietnam continues to attract strong interest from foreign brands, particularly those from mainland China. More shopping malls are undergoing renovations to create space for new market entrants and provide a more memorable experience for shoppers by utilising new designs such as bigger atriums.

Mixed signs of economic recovery in mainland China weighed on investment activity this quarter. Transactions mainly focused on small lump sum assets, the bulk of which were sized at between RMB 100-500 million. Discounted assets, especially in the retail and office sectors, are expected to drive investment in the coming months.

Investment sentiment in Singapore is less negative compared to six months ago, with value-add capital turning more active since the turn of the year. Retail and hospitality properties are expected to offer more opportunities in the coming months, underpinned by solid fundamentals.

India’s investment market continues to see buoyant activity. Strong consumption is translating to solid fundamentals in the retail sector, boosting investor interest. Investment demand in the office sector has also picked up over the past six months, with domestic office funds and Singaporean capital being most active.

With the Asia Pacific hotel market continuing to undergo structural change, hotel owners and operators are fine-tuning operational and branding strategies. Increased labour and utilities costs, limited new supply, and the prolonged peak of the interest rate cycle are among the driving factors.

Our latest report explores the key trends shaping the Hotels & Hospitality sector in Asia Pacific, including an analysis of the current market landscape, the latest activities of the major operators, asset management and investment trends, and ESG considerations.

Key trends:

• Operators keep daily rates high as a result of limited supply, elevated demand and rising labour costs.
• Major global operators continue to expand rapidly across Asia Pacific, with an increased emphasis on lifestyle brands.
• Investment remains robust despite debt-related headwinds, and investors maintain preference for upscale+ assets with rebranding opportunities.
• Adoption of sustainability and ESG initiatives continues; hotels with strong ESG initiatives are set to outperform.