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We are pleased to present our 2022 Global Public Real Estate Outlook Report!

This year, Hazelview celebrated its 10th anniversary investing in public REITs. And what a year it was, with publicly traded REITs rebounding strongly in 2021, experiencing a resurgence in demand, occupancy rates, pricing power and earnings growth. Navigating these evolving fundamentals required us to be flexible and committed to our investment process.

With our exceptional team of professionals based in Canada, the U.S., Europe and Asia providing Hazelview with the local eyes and ears to navigate these unprecedented market conditions, we begin our second decade where we finished our first, by looking for value that others have missed.

For those that received (and recall) our 2021 Outlook, we forecasted total returns of 15-20% for REITs in 2021. Outpacing this forecast, as well as most other industry segments, the REIT-opening in 2021 was in full swing. As for 2022, we believe the potential of sustained inflation will act as a tailwind for real estate valuations and coupled with strengthening fundamentals this will drive attractive earnings growth. Our target total return for global REITs in 2022 is 12-15%.

Segments we believe are exceptionally well positioned to outperform in 2022 include:

  • Industrial Facilities in North America
  • Data Centers in Asia
  • U.S. Residential Sector 
  • European Office REITs
  • Cell Towers

We look forward to another exciting year, as we seek to deliver the strong risk-adjusted returns our clients have come expect. We hope you enjoy this report and that it inspires conversation. I look forward to connecting soon. 

See you in the new year, 

Corrado Russo
Head of Global Public Real Estate Investments

This article was originally published in  https://www.hazelview.com/

We’re excited to share CATCH ’22, our Asia Pacific Commercial Real Estate Outlook 2022 paper with you.​

With universal evidence supporting strong rebounds in business confidence and consumer sentiment, the Asia Pacific region is forecast to return to world leading growth in the second half of 2022.​

Our paper focuses on key drivers of recovery, to ensure you CATCH the potential and opportunities of ‘22.

This article was originally published in https://www.cushmanwakefield.com/en/

Increased global capital flows and growing optimism to buoy property investments in the region

  • Tokyo, Japan is the #1 location to invest in during 2022
  • 84% of investors are optimistic about the economic outlook
  • The Industrial & Logistics sector has overtaken office as the most in demand asset class
  • 74% of investors have already taken action on the environmental performance of their assets

HONG KONG, 9 December 2021 –Leading diversified professional services and investment management company Colliers (NASDAQ and TSX: CIGI) has revealed that quality office assets in major metropolitan markets like London, New York, Tokyo, and Sydney, have retained their allure and will be in high demand next year. Core and core-plus office spaces are the top global strategy picks, with 60% of investors stating these assets as their investment preference, while industrial and logistics (I&L) assets will be the most coveted.

Their appeal not only stems from the realisation that office demand is here to stay, particularly in cities supported by strong transport infrastructure and high amenity values, but also the ease of large-scale capital deployment that office assets represent. The rising cost of construction, viewed by four in five (81%) investors as a pain point, could limit new builds, renovations, and retrofit projects, amplifying the demand for existing quality office assets.

“Based on our 2022 Global Investor Outlook, pent-up demand and delayed transactions will translate into momentum next year. However, investors face an increasingly complex and competitive marketplace, coloured by new regulations and COVID-19 uncertainties. With the amount of dry powder readily available, offices in Tier 1 cities are seen as safe-haven assets that offer an attractive route to deploy capital,” said Tony Horrell, Head of Global Capital Markets at Colliers.

A standout year for Asia Pacific property investments

Across Asia Pacific (APAC), more investors are prepared to put into action their ambitious plans that have been delayed by COVID-19. Cross-border capital flows are also likely to return, as travel and business activity progressively returns.

Terence Tang, Managing Director, Capital Markets & Investment Services | Asia, opined: “Optimism across the Asia Pacific region continues to gather momentum and investors will have a clear appetite to expand their portfolios. Transaction volumes are recovering back to their pre-COVID highs, and asset operating performances remain in a cyclical upswing.”

Overall, I&L assets will be the most sought-after real estate assets in the region, with more than 20% of investors anticipating capital value gains of 10%-20% in value-add I&L assets in 2022, supported by tailwinds and large-scale economic transformation.

Significant interest continues to surround core-plus offices, which remain a popular asset class for regional investors in Tier 1 cities like Singapore, Sydney and Tokyo. 63% of the respondents indicated that they plan to invest in these assets, versus 54% last year.

Multifamily/built-to-rent (BTR) properties are also an increasingly sought-after asset class, with investors targeting both core and development projects. In Japan, this is a sector that is well established and has long attracted foreign core capital, whereas in Australia, it is an emerging asset class with development opportunities.

“BTR is essentially following the development of new infrastructure, which is a strategy we recommend across all asset classes. You need to look at what and where governments are building, the fundamentals of the land and invest in assets you can repurpose if required,” said John Marasco, Managing Director, Capital Markets & Investment Services | Australia & New Zealand.

Retail is for the opportunistic while specialised assets gain favour

Our survey shows that investors see significant potential for the appreciation and repurposing of retail assets. Around a third of the investors mulling retail allocations are targeting opportunistic (including change of use) investments. In addition, hotels are also an opportunistic target, with 38% of investors looking at this sector. Both hotel and retail sectors offer good opportunities in cities with large domestic markets, like Japan, Australia and Korea.

Specialised assets, particularly data centres, life sciences and healthcare, are expected to help boost investment volumes in 2022, with student housing also poised for a comeback as Australia, the region’s main market, opens up to international visitors.

“This interest in alternative assets will continue to grow in most Asian markets, as investors seek new avenues of growth and returns amid the changes brought about by ongoing technological evolution and healthcare needs,” said Tang.

ESG considerations are growing in importance to investors

The report also shows ESG (environmental, social, governance) considerations remain prominent, with nearly three in four investors surveyed globally integrating environmental factors into their strategies. This desire to invest with intent is both a means of future-proofing their assets and responding to stakeholder and societal pressures requiring them to respond to the climate crisis.

ESG has also become a strong focus in APAC, as it will soon be a priority in the office sector as government and corporate tenants pressure owners to get their ratings up.

About the Colliers 2022 Global Investor Outlook

The second edition of Colliers’ annual outlook for global property investors is based on a focused survey undertaken by 300+ investors across the globe and in-depth interviews with Colliers’ regional Capital Markets leaders. The findings and opinions featured in the report are shaped by their responses.

This article was originally published in https://www.colliers.com/en-in

December 6, Singapore – The Asia-Pacific region is set to continue its recovery from the pandemic, despite renewed uncertainty caused by the Omicron variant. Economies that have been hampered by lockdowns in 2021 will likely exhibit above-trend growth next year, according to Knight Frank’s latest report, Asia-Pacific Outlook Report 2022: Optimism and Opportunities Ahead.. 

Christine Li, head of research, Asia-Pacific, said, “The world and the Asia-Pacific region are now better equipped to cope with new variants, as vaccinations and oral medication for COVID-19 continue to gather pace. Although we are witnessing some knee-jerk reactions, over the next 12 months, we still expect most governments to move beyond lockdowns and transition to an endemic stage.”

“A wide range of indicators are pointing towards rebound and recovery in 2022, as Asia-Pacific enters a new cycle of growth driven by low interest rates and high inward investment. With these fundamentals in place, pent-up demand will fuel value growth across the region’s residential and commercial sectors,” Li added.

At a sector level, the report predicts an uplift of 20% in commercial transactions next year and a growth rate of between 3-6% for residential prices. Rents in the logistics sector are forecast to increase 2-3%, while office rents appear to be bottoming out to record more modest growth.

“As COVID-19 restrictions are relaxed, pent-up demand will support a solid recovery across the region. However, the trend will not be linear, and inevitably there will be bumps along the way in the form of new variants, supply disruptions, or ad-hoc restrictions. Fortunately, such setbacks are likely to be temporary and not distract markets from a solid broad-based recovery,” said Kevin Coppel, managing director, Asia-Pacific.

Sector Outlook

Office

  • Job growth in the tech sector will continue to be a key driver of office leasing activity
  • Co-working will continue to gain momentum from enterprise client demand as corporates adopt longer-term hybrid work strategies
  • The region’s office market is expected to remain tenant-favourable, providing a window of opportunity for occupiers to capitalise on for better lease terms

Commenting on the office market, Tim Armstrong, global head for occupier strategy and solutions, said: “We are seeing an increased commitment to hybrid flexible workspaces as a part of occupiers’ strategies as we transition towards a COVID-endemic Asia-Pacific. Occupiers are recognising the impact of flexibility in facilitating employee engagement and cost optimisation.”

Logistics

  • Rising transportation costs and the need for more resilient supply chains are driving companies to increase their logistics footprints to house larger inventory buffers
  • Rental growth expected to increase by an average of 2-3% as supply for logistics spaces is unlikely to keep up with growing demand
  • 13 out of 16 APAC markets tracked are expected to see increasing rents, with Auckland expected to see the highest rental growth.

“The quest to reconfigure supply chain strategies to become more resilient will result in sustained demand for modern logistics facilities, which will keep rents on an upward trend,” noted Armstrong.

Capital Markets

  • APAC transaction volume is expected to see an uplift of 20% in 2022
  • The office sector could potentially attract more than 60% of inbound investment into the APAC region
  • The US and Singapore will continue to be the top sources of capital spend

Neil Brookes, global head of capital markets, said, “Economies forging a path towards the next phase of endemic living will set the stage for a sustained resurgence of cross-border investment into real estate. Competition for assets will remain intense as investors look to deploy record dry powder accumulated, which will keep yields down.

“While core office with long lease expiries and logistics assets will be keenly sought after, we expect activity to turn active across all asset classes as the rotation towards riskier sectors gain traction. There will be ample scope for investors to be creative in the new normal and look towards value-add or opportunistic plays to generate alpha,” Brookes added.

The COVID-19 pandemic, in its protracted state, has put a spotlight on many real estate assets’ strengths and weaknesses, according to the report. Investors are increasingly shunning older assets regardless of geographies and focusing on assets that provide a resilient income stream.

Emily Relf, global head of capital strategies,said, “With yields compressing in Europe to record lows, overseas investors are looking to re-weight their portfolio from low-growth markets in Europe towards higher-growth Asian markets. Assets with strong ESG credentials will attract greater demand. Indeed, Knight Frank research shows a positive premium on sales price for green-rated office buildings in London, Melbourne, and Sydney, indicating that demand for green buildings is a global phenomenon and set to grow.”

Residential

  • The unorthodox access to international talent is likely to skew homebuying preferences across Asia-Pacific’s gateway markets in the long-term
  • Ease of working from home, health, and wellbeing are essential features in a post-pandemic world
  • 18 of 24 APAC cities saw price growth since the beginning of the pandemic and are expected to grow further in 2022

“Residential markets across the Asia-Pacific region could continue to strengthen in 2022 as the region starts to recover in the endemic phase. With more quarantine-free travel lanes reopening, foreign buyers could return to key gateway markets sooner than expected,” said Victoria Garrett, head of residential, Asia-Pacific.

“Now is the best time for domestic buyers to pick up their dream homes, given the potential policy interventions that could hamper purchasing prospects in 2022,” Garrett concluded. 

The wider GPR/APREA Listed Real Estate final dash in December brought total returns back into positive territory for the full year, largely on the performance of markets in Australia and Japan.

Australia’s property stocks have had an outstanding year in 2021 on strong earnings expectations. With inflation expected to remain manageable, the country’s central bank is under no significant pressure to tighten policy rates from the currently historic lows.

Gains were also registered across the rest of the region’s heavyweights, with the exception of Chinese stocks, which continued to remain pressured.

A series of asset sales underscored concern that equity investors will bear the brunt of losses as developers offload projects to repay debt.

However, signs are mounting that China will ease curbs on its property sector. To stem off downward pressure on the economy, the central bank trimmed banks’ reserve requirement ratio in December.

Please find below the rebalancing results for the following GPR/APREA index series, which will become effective as of 20 December 2021 (start of trading):

  • GPR/APREA Investable 100 Index
  • GPR/APREA Investable REIT 100 Index
  • GPR/APREA Composite Index
  • GPR/APREA Composite REIT Index (indicated with an asterisk)

GPR/APREA Investable 100 Index

INCLUSIONS

CHN6158 HKZhenro Properties Group Ltd
JPN3295 JTHulic REIT
JPN3465 JTKi-Star Real Estate Co. Ltd.
PHLSMPH PMSM Prime Holdings

EXCLUSIONS

CHN683 HKKerry Properties Ltd.Liquidity too low
JPN8986 JTDaiwa Securities Living Investment Corp.Liquidity too low
MYSMSGB MKMah Sing Group BhdLiquidity too low

GPR/APREA Investable REIT 100 Index

INCLUSIONS

AUSHDN ATHomeCo Daily Needs REIT
INDEMBASSY IBEmbassy Office Parks REIT
KOR034830 KSKorea Real Estate Investment & Trust Co., Ltd

EXCLUSIONS

NZLKPG NZKiwi Property Group LtdLiquidity too low
SGPCDREIT SPCDL Hospitality TrustsLiquidity too low

GPR/APREA Composite Index + GPR/APREA Composite REIT Index

INCLUSIONS

AUSHCW ATHealthCo Healthcare and Wellness REIT *
INDASFI IBAshiana Housing Ltd
KOR034830 KSKorea Real Estate Investment & Trust Co., Ltd *

EXCLUSIONS

None

Challenges persist and recovery will take time, but opportunity remains on multiple levels for Hong Kong SAR hotel investors, owners and operators.


Hong Kong SAR1 continues to attract interest from those who recognise the city’s longer-term potential, despite challenges faced with COVID-19 and border restrictions that have led to a lack of mainland and international visitors. Nevertheless, the hotel sector performed well in 2021 compared to the year before, with certain hotels being used as quarantine hotels and a boost in staycation demand and extended-stay offerings.

Set to become the world’s leading wealth management centre with over USD3.2 trillion assets under management (AUM) by 2025, major infrastructure, commercial and leisure initiatives will further elevate Hong Kong SAR’s position as a global city with further long-term potential.

In this special report, we look at:
  • The performance of hotels in Hong Kong SAR, the operating environment and the sector’s supply up to 2026
  • Key trends and challenges in the hotel sector, including technology adoption, asset enhancement and Environmental, Social & Governance (ESG)
  • The city’s infrastructure and leisure initiatives with potential benefits for the hotel sector
  • Challenges and opportunities with investing in hotel assets in Hong Kong SAR
https://cdn.flipsnack.com/widget/v2/widget.html?hash=z1mazzr02v

This article was originally published in https://www.colliers.com/en-xa/

Occupier confidence is improving after one-and-half years. Prices are recovering with evident growth of 21% in a span of three months in Q3 of 2021.

Future Flex – A hybrid & productive workspace approach

Strategic agreements for operators

Traditional leases are giving way to models such as:
•Revenue-share model 
•Management contracts
•Hybrid model (fixed minimum rent plus revenue share)
Apart from these, some operators are seen to explore the franchise model, 
although that can pose some risk of brand 

Choice-based model for occupiers
Occupiers are evaluating the concept of ‘work from near-home’ through 
satellite and hub-and-spoke offices. We foresee that these offices will be an 
amalgamation of traditional leases and flex spaces. 
With gig economy gaining traction, we also predict the need for on-demand 
spaces, as occupiers would require space by the hour/week/month for certain 
teams. Such space requirements can successfully be driven by flex spaces. 

Customized deals for Occupiers
Occupiers are opting for tailor-made mandates with operators for future 
expansion and leasing. Flex operators will take up spaces and customize 
them as per the occupiers’ needs. However, at the same time, operators are 
likely to also incorporate and offer some proportion of ready buildings for 
immediate absorption by start-ups and entrepreneurs.

Report by Colliers & Qdesq

This article was originally published in https://www.colliers.com/en-in

Active local investors dominate Q3 retail transaction volume as they eye potential capital growth

Retail investment activity has been subdued with only 48 completed deals in 2020 compared to the peak of 110 in 2018. However, with the easing of social-distancing restrictions, activity has picked up especially from veteran investors whose activity accounted for almost all the retail transactions concluded in Q3 2021. Unpacking this data further, our latest Colliers Flash reveals that the next six months could provide good timing for investors to bottom-fish. 

To #SeeWhatCouldBe and how you can capitalise on retail asset investment, read our latest report, or talk to an expert today.

This article was originally published in https://www.colliers.com/en-hk