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Southeast Asia foresees strong economic growth in 2024, with most major economies expected to accelerate despite challenges like inflation and geopolitical tensions. Easing inflation and increased investments are poised to further support growth.
Cushman & Wakefield's latest paper explores the promising growth prospects of Southeast Asia (SEA) in 2024. Forecasted to expand by 4.6%, SEA's economy is on an upward trajectory, outpacing the previous year's growth rate of 4.0%.
Singapore’s economic growth is set to improve to 3.0% in 2024, higher than 1.1% growth in 2023, albeit growth would be tempered by a still-high interest rates environment and global economic uncertainties.
Economic growth would be underpinned by a recovering manufacturing sector as external demand recovers and resilient demand for services given Singapore’s status as a regional business hub and tourism recovery. Overall property demand is expected to improve, albeit cautiously, and higher supply in some markets such as the residential and office market would crimp rental prospects.
View the Report Read More2024 is anticipated to be a more dynamic year for the Asia Pacific real estate industry. The ability to act quickly, dig deeply into markets and sectors to identify value, and forge productive partnerships will be key to making the most of the region’s resurgence.
Colliers' 2024 Investor Insights - Country Spotlight Series aims to provide real estate investors and owners with unique insights into the year ahead and a deep understanding of each market across the region. As investors evaluate their portfolios against the fast-evolving global landscape, this series provides a strategic view on the key market dynamics, outlook and opportunities, along with actionable insights across asset classes in Asia Pacific.
View the Reports Read MoreThe real estate market in the Asia Pacific (APAC) region has shown remarkable resilience and adaptability despite the rapidly changing global landscape. Geopolitical advancements in APAC economies have led to a transformation of the real estate sector, with technology and sustainability integration gaining traction. These changes have also impacted the development of fast-paced projects.
As the real estate industry around the world catches up with technology-led innovations, there is a shift towards environmentally friendly building practices due to rising carbon emissions. This shift is evident in the updated real estate regulations in the APAC region for 3QFY24. Many APAC countries, such as China, Singapore, Australia and Japan have introduced green infrastructure and technology-integrating guidelines to address this challenge.
Further, countries like Australia and Japan have shifted their focus from specialised asset classes, such as data centres and cold storage, to Build-to-Rent asset types. While demand from occupiers has weakened due to tighter liquidity, investors have shown a keen interest in commercial and industrial real estate. Moreover, a new theme of inclusivity and equal housing rights has emerged in economies such as Hong Kong and Japan, which is expected to impact other APAC countries in the coming years.
Despite the ongoing challenges, APAC economies present an attractive opportunity for investors due to regulatory updates across various classes and asset types. These economies are expected to play a crucial role in channelling regional investments and development.
Download the Report Read MoreEconomy
Despite avoiding a recession in 2023, Singapore continues to face external headwinds from weak growth in major economies. Activity in outward-oriented sectors is thus expected to remain subdued in H1 2024. However, sustained recovery in air travel and tourism, and resilient labour market conditions will support growth in the tourism, aviation-related and consumer-facing sectors. GDP is forecasted to grow 1 – 3% in 2024, faster than 2023’s 1.2% y-o-y growth.
Office
While leasing demand from the tech sector fell in 2023, Singapore’s office market has been resilient, with diversified demand drivers such as consumer, private wealth and flexible workspace sectors. Sentiment could pick up in H2 2024 as interest rates and inflationary pressures ease, economy strengthens, and companies regain confidence to embark on expansionary plans.
Industrial
With some 3PLs in consolidation mode, leasing demand is expected to be more diversified in 2024. Life sciences and technology occupiers remain active in seeking quality spaces, while the manufacturing rebound should translate into more leasing activity by electronics, general manufacturing and engineering firms.
Retail
Ongoing challenges could curtail retailers' expansionary demand this year. However, Tourism remains a bright spot on the back of a strong pipeline of concerts and events. Expectations of a full tourism recovery, coupled with limited supply completions in 2024, should lend support to retail rents.
Residential
Rental and price growth moderated in 2023 alongside sluggish sales and ample completions. Growth momentum is expected to ease further in 2024 amid increasing resistance to high price points and as the rental market digests higher supply from peak completions in 2023.
Investment
Despite cautious investor sentiments through 2023, there is ample liquidity waiting on the sidelines. Due to its macroeconomic stability, pro-business environment and political-neutral stance, investors remain confident and interested in Singapore real estate assets for portfolio diversification and wealth preservation.
This report was originally published in https://www.cbre.com.sg/insights/reports/singapore-market-outlook-2024
Download the Report Read MoreHigh interest rates, a slow recovery in mainland China and geopolitical tension weighed on the Asia Pacific real estate market in 2023. While these concerns are set to persist into 2024, CBRE expects an upturn to commence by mid-year.
From an economic perspective, the U.S. economy is poised for a soft landing in 2024, and the downward interest rate cycle in Asia Pacific is expected to commence mid-year.
The office market will continue to witness a supply boom and occupiers will leverage the higher availability to drive flight to quality and workplace optimisation. Prime office and green space will see growing demand.
In the retail space, despite a cautious approach to CapEx and store network planning, retailers are poised to capitalise on favourable market conditions to upgrade and expand.
Logistics occupiers’ appetite for expansion is expected to moderate further, and occupiers will give closer scrutiny to real estate plans and capital expenditure.
Expectations are that while hotel ADRs should normalise in most markets, occupancy growth in well-managed assets should drive revenue growth.
Commercial real estate investment is expected to remain muted in H1 2024. However, H2 2024 will see an uptick in investment activity on the back of re-pricing and interest rate cuts.
This report was originally published in https://www.cbre.com/insights/books/asia-pacific-real-estate-market-outlook-2024
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