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Although the pandemic has faded into the background, 2022 was still a tumultuous year highlighted by events such as the war in Ukraine, the subsequent energy crisis, and persistent inflation leading to interest rate hikes. A global recession is likely, but the Japanese economy looks to fare better due to its belated reopening. The majority of investors in Japan are still pursuing new investment opportunities, and 2023 will see more participants. The matured Japan market will welcome a more diversified pool of investors, which will give the market more liquidity and greater potential for growth.
This report was originally published in https://www.savills.co.jp/research_articles/167577/209392-0
Download the Report Read MoreAsia Pacific’s key office markets tell a story of resilience overall, with steady demand in some markets, surging supply in others – and some cities in India experiencing both surging demand and supply.
As has been the case since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Asia Pacific office market continues to demonstrate its resilience. Fully 153 million square feet (msf) of office space has been absorbed across the region’s top 25 markets since the end of 2019, with 47msf of that occurring in the first nine months of 2022. Indeed, Asia Pacific continues to be the only region to record consecutive quarters of positive net absorption throughout the pandemic.
The broad outlook is for this to continue, though inevitably with nuance at the local level. Full-year office demand in 2022 is expected to reach 65msf, on par with the 63msf absorbed in 2021 and well above the pandemic lows of 2020. A modest improvement is forecast in 2023, with net absorption projected to reach 71msf (+9% y-o-y), before growth stabilises at around 5% per annum through to 2026. While this represents robust demand, it comes at a time of heightened supply as projects that were delayed in the early period of the pandemic regain momentum. Following the 112msf of new supply in 2022, a further 130msf is expected to be delivered in 2023 before slowing to less than 100msf from 2024 onwards. Inevitably, with supply outstripping demand in the near-term, regional vacancy is forecast to soften further, rising from 12.5% pre-pandemic to reach a little over 18% in 2023, after which it is expected to hold steady.
Read MoreKnight Frank takes a look at some of the ‘big picture’ issues impacting owners and users of real estate in the Asia-Pacific region for the upcoming year.
Global inflation in 2022 is at its highest since 1996. As most central banks in Asia-Pacific turn the screws on monetary policies to stave off inflation, growth will inevitably slow in the coming year. As monetary authorities are compelled to keep pace with the Fed's hiking cycle in addition to walking the tightrope between growth and inflation, the region's interest rates in 2023 will approach multi-year highs.
Despite these ongoing stressors, Asia-Pacific is set to remain the world's fastest-growing region in 2023. Even as growth momentum continues to normalise across much of the region, domestic-oriented economies such as emerging Southeast Asia and India are forecast to remain supportive of overall regional growth in the upcoming year.
As such, Knight Frank expects to see real estate markets in the region weather a period of transition as occupiers and investors review their strategies in a rapidly evolving environment.
This report was originally published in https://apac.knightfrank.com/apac-outlook
Download the Report Read MoreLearn the latest industry and regulatory developments from India, Hong Kong, China, and Singapore.
Highlights:
India
China and Hong Kong
Singapore
With Singapore’s economy in a position of strength, being forecasted to surpass pre-pandemic average annual growth numbers by growing 3.8% year-on-year in 2022, Cushman & Wakefield’s latest Singapore Market Outlook H2 2022 report expects the overall Singapore property market to see relatively strong but slower growth as investors seek out safe havens for wealth preservation and diversification amidst global uncertainties.
This report was originally published in https://www.cushmanwakefield.com/en/singapore/insights/singapore-market-outlook-h2-2022
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