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CBRE’s 2024 Asia Pacific Investor Intentions Survey was conducted in November and December 2023. Over 500 responses were received from participants who were asked a range of questions related to their buying intentions, perceived challenges and preferred strategies, sectors and markets for the coming year. 

The survey uncovered persistently weak buying intentions across Asia Pacific, with selling intentions hitting the highest mark since surveys began. Whilst the rate hike cycle has come to a halt in major global markets, investors are waiting for indications that the current repricing cycle has finished before deploying significant amounts of capital.

Investors in most markets (ex. Japan) will therefore continue to adopt a wait and see approach in H1 2024. However, amid growing expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will begin cutting rates in H2 2024, and Asia Pacific’s central banks following suit, commercial real estate investment activity should accelerate in the back half of the year.

Other key findings:

  • Overall investment sentiment is at the expected level of CBRE’s in-house estimates. Despite similar net buying intentions, more than 40% of investors said they would dispose of more assets in 2024 to realise returns and repay debt. The strongest selling intentions were observed in Australia, Singapore and Hong Kong SAR.
  • The survey revealed that value-added investment strategies will gain momentum in 2024 as investors look to hit target returns in markets where negative carry continues to persist.
  • Residential assets (especially multifamily and built-to-rent) logged the strongest uptick in interest, particularly among investors considering value-add strategies. Industrial and offices are still the top property type among core investors.
  • Healthcare assets remain top of mind for investors looking at alternative assets. Real estate debt climbed to second place in this year’s survey, while a greater emphasis on the living sector (retirement living and student accommodation) was observed.
  • Japan retained its position as the most preferred market for cross-border investment for a fifth consecutive year. Singapore and Australia followed in second and third place, respectively. Investors remain attracted to highly liquid markets with stable income.
  • Just over 60% of investors, the bulk of which are private equity funds, real estate funds and REITs, intend to retrofit existing buildings to be more sustainable or ESG-compliant in 2024; a trend ensuring value-added strategies are their preferred approach.

This report was originally published in https://www.cbre.com/insights/reports/asia-pacific-investor-intentions-survey-2024

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The evolving landscape of real assets in 2024 reflects a cautious optimism after a year of uncertainty in 2023. From Asia Pacific's stable cycles offering diversification to critical shifts in logistics and office spaces, the market dynamics are diverse. Investors navigate growth sectors such as new economy, senior housing, and co-living spaces, while private credit opportunities emerge in various markets. Structural shifts, including technology integration and sustainability initiatives, reshape demand trends. Amid global economic uncertainty, strategic flexibility and a focus on growth sectors define the approach for investors in the year ahead.

APREA TrendWatch Jan2024 1

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Cushman & Wakefield’s 2024 Asia Pacific Office Outlook provides supply, demand, vacancy and rent data forecasts for cities in Australia, China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam.

REGIONAL OVERVIEW

Key Messages:

  • Inflation, though largely improved, remains above target bands in most markets across the region; a ‘higher for longer’ interest rate scenario is anticipated.
  • Asia Pacific economic growth is expected to slow but to remain in positive territory (3.5% to 4.0% real average annual growth) in 2024.
  • Despite a weaker economic outlook, regional office demand is forecast to reach pre-pandemic levels in 2024—but above average levels of new supply will drive vacancy higher.
  • Rental growth is forecast to remain flat in 2024 before slowly accelerating from 2025.
  • Newer, high-quality buildings are likely to outperform given the ongoing flight to quality.

Against a volatile economic backdrop, the Asia Pacific office market remains steadfast and continues to grow. Approximately 50 million square feet (msf) of Grade A office stock was absorbed across the region’s top 25 cities during the first nine months of 2023, with a further 12 msf expected in the final quarter. Annual office demand in 2023, forecast at 62 msf, is an 11% improvement on last year’s 55 msf.

New supply in 2023 will total 109 msf, outstripping demand and causing vacancy to tick upwards to 17.6% from 16.1% in 2022. Rental growth has subsequently slowed and is likely to be down around 0.5% on a weighted average basis.

The outlook remains broadly skewed to the positive. Demand is forecast to increase to 83 msf in 2024 and to 87 msf in 2025, which would match pre-pandemic performance. However, waves of new supply are also expected, with nearly 235 msf of completions forecast over the next two years to place further upward pressure on vacancy, which is now expected to peak at 18.4% in 2024 and then hold steady through 2025. This will keep downward pressure on rents which are likely to remain flat in 2024, at the weighted regional average level, before slowly accelerating from 2025. Accordingly, the window of opportunity remains open for occupiers over the near term.

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Picture this - despite around 43% of the installed power capacity of India being renewable, coal-based thermal power still contributes to almost 75% of its power generation. However, the country is making rapid strides towards achieving its ambitious goal of meeting 50% of its energy requirements from renewable energy by 2030.

The policy push has been strong, taking cues from which prominent real estate developers have begun to take meaningful steps towards attaining their ESG goals. Renewable energy, more often than not, is the first step towards achieving ESG compliance.

Through CBRE India’s first report on renewable energy, we have tried to answer the below questions and more:

  • What is the current state of renewable energy across India?
  • What are the policy measures that central and state governments are providing to boost the adoption of renewable energy in the country?
  • What are the common challenges that corporate occupiers face in adopting renewable energy and how can they overcome them?
  • What are the different renewable energy options available to corporates and how can they access those?
  • How are leading office developers in India aligned with sustainable power?
  • How can corporates achieve their renewable energy goals?

This report was originally published in https://www.cbre.com/insights/reports/sustainable-energy-powering-india-s-offices

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It has become clear over the last decade that environmental, social and governance risks are financial risks. What does that look like for the year ahead? The 2024 edition of MSCI’s Sustainability and Climate Trends to Watch (formerly ESG and Climate Trends to Watch) brings together the key questions that our global research team are asking, and offers thoughtful analyses and useful insights to help assess and navigate the investment landscape that lies ahead.

This report was originally published in https://www.msci.com/research-and-insights/2024-sustainability-climate-trends-to-watch

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