APREA Logo

Knowledge Hub


Despite the challenges of juggling an economy under the weight of its zero-covid policies and stringent macroprudential measures, the Chinese government has remained steadfast in implementing its vision for the country’s REIT market. 2022 ticked off another milestone in the ongoing evolution, as China’s first batch of rental property REITs went public in August, deepening financing channels for the country’s real estate sector.

Strong regulatory backing, quality asset base and robust underlying demand for dividend-rich stocks from investors in China’s US$12 trillion stock markets will remain supportive of the sector’s strong valuations. Progress is palpable, and we can expect more C-REIT listings in 2023. The inclusion of conventional commercial real estate – arguably the proverbial holy grail and the final frontier in the evolution of C-REITs – is nearing reality and the wave of listings that follow will undoubtedly be a massive investment opportunity.

Q4 2022 Singapore Figures report provides the latest commentary and data on net absorption, rents, vacancy, supply and other key metrics in Singapore’s office, business parks, retail, residential and industrial markets, along with an analysis of real estate investment activity.


Despite the challenges of juggling an economy under the weight of its zero-covid policies and stringent macroprudential measures, the Chinese government has remained steadfast in implementing its vision for the country’s REIT market. 2022 ticked off another milestone in the ongoing evolution, as China’s first batch of rental property REITs went public in August, deepening financing channels for the country’s real estate sector.

Strong regulatory backing, quality asset base and robust underlying demand for dividend-rich stocks from investors in China’s US$12 trillion stock markets will remain supportive of the sector’s strong valuations. Progress is palpable, and we can expect more C-REIT listings in 2023. The inclusion of conventional commercial real estate – arguably the proverbial holy grail and the final frontier in the evolution of C-REITs – is nearing reality and the wave of listings that follow will undoubtedly be a massive investment opportunity.

As many economies continue to raise interest rates to tackle inflation, and with growing concerns of a recession in other parts of the world, Asia Pacific investors have become more cautious, with net buying intention softening in 2023. 

CBRE’s 2023 Asia Pacific Investor Intentions Survey, which features insights from more than 500 investors across the region, finds that although fundraising activity remains healthy, most investors intend to adopt a wait-and-see stance in the first half of 2023 in anticipation of slower yield expansion and milder rate hikes.

Other key findings include:

  • Real estate allocations among Asia-based institutional investors are largely below their global peers. These respondents indicate that their allocations to real estate will remain the same or increase over the next 12 months.
  • Opportunistic strategies will gain momentum in 2023 as investors look to capitalise on price dislocation and seek distressed opportunities.
  • Industrial and logistics remains the most preferred asset class, while residential (especially multifamily and built-to-rent) logged the strongest uptick in interest. Offices are still the top property type among core investors.
  • Although healthcare-related properties have overtaken data centres to become the most popular alternative sector, the investible universe for this asset class in Asia Pacific remains limited.
  • Tokyo retained its status as the top city for cross-border investment for a fourth consecutive year, followed by Singapore and Ho Chi Minh City.

This report was originally published in https://www.cbre.com/insights/reports/asia-pacific-investor-intentions-survey-2023

India has long been recognised as a country with immense potential, but it was often hindered by bureaucracy and red tape. In recent years, however, India has made laudable strides, with its economic growth leapfrogging other major countries, in part driven by concerted government-led reforms and sector-focused initiatives that have shaped a more business-friendly climate, particularly for foreign investment.

Today, India has forged ahead into a new era, and the country holds much promise with the largest youth population in the world1 and the second largest labour force2 globally. Investors can look forward to sustained returns from key beneficiaries of these structural advancements, particularly in the Office and Business Park sector.

This report was originally published in https://www.capitaland.com/en/about-capitaland/newsroom/inside/2023/January/Riding_the_Growth_Impetus_A_Focus_on_Indias_Office_and_Business_Park_Sector.html

Storm Clouds Gather

Asia Pacific property markets face a number of battle fronts in 2023. The first is external to the region as the war in Ukraine combined with post-COVID supply chain disruption has fueled inflation causing central banks to raise rates and in doing so cool growth. This is nowhere more apparent than in the US and Europe, the final demand markets for Asia’s exports. The second is within the region itself and concerns its largest economy, China, which accounts for 53% of the region’s GDP and almost a third of all manufactured products. A low growth and, thanks to zero-COVID policies and a more assertive political direction, more isolated China, is depriving real estate capital of a universe of investment opportunities while funds flowing out of the Mainland have slowed to a trickle. The final battle front is longer term and structural and concerns how people work and shop and how new technologies are tearing down the old boundaries between asset classes while creating new ones in an orgy of creative destruction. Something familiar to markets globally.


A Silver Lining

Asia is not alone in facing a challenging 2023 of course, a sub-par year in terms of growth and some way from pre-COVID norms. However, measured against the yardstick of the global economy, and in particular the US and Europe, Asia’s strengths become apparent. While North America and Europe face recession in late 2022/early 2023, Asia Pacific will see modest growth in many jurisdictions, higher rates in some. Interest rates are also expected to rise more slowly as inflation fails to make the inroads it has elsewhere. Even geopolitical tensions are moderating thanks to the G20 Bali Summit. A raft of trade agreements, temporarily grounded by COVID, should also help accelerate the post-pandemic resurgence as supply chains mend and the region’s low-cost base reinforces its competitiveness. While ‘alternative asset classes’ are proliferating in the region, other disruptions such as flexible working and online retail are making fewer gains than elsewhere while large parts of Asia Pacific are still enjoying the luxury of catch-up growth, delivering outsized economic gains in, for example, Southeast Asia and parts of India.

Rays of Light

Looking ahead into 2023, it is unlikely that any of the three battle lines will be redrawn, but this doesn’t mean a dearth of opportunities, quite the opposite. In an inflationary environment Asia’s shorter lease lengths should prove appealing while ‘index-linked’ defensive sectors such as self-storage, student housing, multi-family housing and senior living should find an audience. The ‘New Economy’ remains as fresh as ever.

In Japan, low interest rates and a weak Yen will continue attracting overseas capital with logistics assets, and multi-family housing all being targeted while hotels should prove to be an actively traded asset class in 2023.

Singapore meanwhile is emerging as a ‘geopolitical safe space’ in the region, building its financial services base, attracting private family offices, and benefiting from the exodus of talent from Hong Kong. Vietnam continues to benefit from its dismantling of COVID restrictions and ‘China plus one’ and is expected to post enviable growth of 4% in 2023.

In Australia, Asia’s principal resource-driven economy, high yields, strong growth compared to major markets and a weaker Australian Dollar should attract offshore investors. Sectors to watch include logistics, core offices and a range of alternatives.

In China, as elsewhere in the region, life-sciences, data centres, logistics and cold chain investments have lost none of their allure as structural drivers remain compelling. Even with low inflation and low interest rates, debt burdened firms may deliver distressed assets, but pricing remains contentious.

And a look at 2023 wouldn’t be complete without mentioning ESG. Love it or hate it, it’s here to stay and expect to see growing ESG commitments, and more ESG initiatives as part of investment strategies across all asset classes.

This article was originally published in https://www.savills.co.jp/research_articles/167577/209583-0

Read the Full Article

This report aims to engage occupiers in their ESG journey, allow landlords to better align and develop stronger partnerships with their tenants, and guide occupiers to maximise their green potential through their real estate.

This report was originally published in https://apac.knightfrank.com/esgmattersapac

CBRE’s 2022-23 Global Fit-Out Cost Guide is the industry’s most comprehensive analysis of fit-out pricing globally. This year’s edition focuses on the global changes in work models and the challenges faced as a result of the pandemic, climate change and heightened economic uncertainty.

The global shift in workplace behaviors has resulted in new ways of thinking about the construction of offices. Companies have adopted hybrid work models, and people need a blend of flexible, team and event spaces. Likewise, many companies have set net-zero carbon targets, expanding real estate sustainability strategy beyond energy savings to include decarbonization and Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) criteria.

But with the changes there have been challenges. The lingering effects of COVID-19 and the war in Ukraine have led to economic and supply chain uncertainty, which affects the fit-out market by diminishing budgets amid inflation and causing long lead times in procurement.

CBRE introduced our Fit-Out Cost Guide in 2013 as a benchmarking tool to support planning and investing in capital fit-out projects. This year our cost guide leverages more quality data than ever before, with input from strategic partners.

The 2022-23 guide provides insight into global market trends, with regional data from APAC, EMEA, North America and Latin America.

This report was originally published in https://www.cbre.com/insights/books/global-office-fit-out-cost-guide-2022-2023

Although there were an estimated 150 million people living in rented accommodation in China in 2020, the country’s penetration rate of multifamily rental apartments remained very low, standing at under 2%. However, the evolution of China’s demographic structure; shift in housing consumption demand; and comprehensive government policy support are expected to drive an increase in the number of multifamily rental apartments to more than 12 million units by 2030.

CBRE believes that the sector’s strong leasing fundamentals and potential for asset liquidity and scalability will ensure multifamily emerges as one of the most attractive commercial real estate investment asset classes in China in the next ten years.

With around three-quarters of China’s target multifamily users located in Guangdong, Shanghai, Beijing, Zhejiang and Jiangsu, investors are recommended to target these core markets in the country’s three major coastal city clusters. Site selection should also consider accessibility to public transportation and commute time to workplaces. The main investment approaches to multifamily rental apartments in China include acquisition and renovation of existing assets, greenfield development, and platform collaboration.

Affordable housing possesses both policy and market-oriented characteristics. Exit channels provided by C-REITs; regulatory approval for the conversion of non-residential housing into rental housing; and favourable taxation and credit policies will provide the sector with unique investment advantages.

On the operational side, CBRE recommends investors increase their investment returns through active management measures such as bulk procurement, digitalised leasing and operations systems, floor plan reconfiguration and value-added services.

This report was originally published in https://www.cbre.com/insights/reports/investing-in-china-multifamily-real-estate

Economy

The moderate recovery of the Japanese economy is expected to continue in 2023, driven by consumer spending and corporate capital investment. However, with the output gap still negative, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) has made it clear that it will retain its loose monetary policy for the time being. If the economic recovery were to lead to a rise in corporate earnings as well as real wages, thereby maintaining moderate inflation, the likelihood of a shift to a tighter monetary policy would increase. However, the consensus is that such a move, were it to eventuate, would not occur until H2 2023 at the earliest.

Office

While relocations to higher grade office buildings were on the rise in 2022, downsizings and consolidations were still widely observed, leading to a general upward trend in vacancy rates. As an increasing number of companies favor the implementation of hybrid working schemes, tenants are likely to become more selective than before with respect to office specifications. With increases in supply forecast for most cities, market rents are likely to continue to fall.

Retail

The Ginza highstreet market will continue to be driven primarily by demand from luxury goods brands in 2023. While high street rents appear to have bottomed and maintaining the low levels, they should begin to rise once again in Q4 2022 and continue to slowly increase thereafter.

Logistics​

Unprecedented volumes of new supply is expected across Japan in 2023, due to the greater focus placed on logistics properties by developers. As a result, vacancy rates are expected to rise in all four metropolitan areas, despite continued robust tenant demand for logistics space.

Investment

Commercial real estate transaction volume in Japan for 2022 is expected to be slightly lower than the previous year’s level.  Nevertheless, expected yields have continued to decline, indicating that investor appetite remains stable. Some investors have become more selective amid overseas interest rate hikes and concerns over a possible recession in US and Europe.  However, the BoJ appears unlikely to tighten its monetary policy in the short term, and appetite for Japan real estate looks set to remain robust in 2023.

This report was originally published in https://www.cbre.com/insights/reports/japan-major-report-japan-market-outlook-2023