With many markets succeeding in containing the pandemic and relaxing restrictions on business and social activity to some degree over the past six months, this year has seen a significant improvement in business sentiment across Asia Pacific. About 71% of survey respondents believe current business conditions are improving, marking substantial progress from the two surveys CBRE conducted in October and April 2020. Confidence was highest in Greater China and the Pacific, while India and Southeast Asia were less optimistic as they struggle to contain a new wave of infections. The unpredictability of infection rates will continue to weigh on the pace of the regional recovery for the foreseeable future. However, the rapid increase in vaccination rates in mature Asia markets and the reopening of offices globally will further strengthen corporate confidence in the handling of the pandemic.

Winning Strategies for Asia Pacific Real Estate

Top real estate and finance executives gathered in Singapore to discuss the opportunities and challenges ahead for the region’s real estate industry at an event hosted by the Asia Pacific Real Assets Association (APREA).

Jointly organized by APREA, SS&C and Intralinks, the event, “Accelerating Technology in the New Normal of Real Assets,” the livestreamed event covered a wide range of issues transforming the industry, from real estate data to ESG (Environmental, Social and Governance) goals.

ある調査会社によると、今年上半期におけるある調査会社によると、今年上半期におけるオーストラリアへの不動産投資は対前年比で倍増となり、コロナ対策を着実に行い一定の成果を示し続けているオーストラリアに対する投資家の注目度は高い。こうした状況を踏まえ、このほどAPREA はオーストラリア不動産市場の現状や税務に関するWebinar を開催した。今回は市場概要をお届けする。

コロナ対策に一定の成果コロナ対策に一定の成果経済回復は早期に実現

メルボルンでのロックダウン期間は長かったもメルボルンでのロックダウン期間は長かったものの、オーストラリア政府はコロナウィルス対策を効果的に行い封じ込めに成功したと言えるであろう。オーストラリアの感染人数は約３万人、総人口のたった0.12％に過ぎない。政府は景気刺激策に2000 億ドル超を投入、事業主に対しては雇用継続向けに900 億ドル超の賃金支援を行った。ただ、シドニーは変異株の流行により先週から２週間のロックダウンが行われている。ワクチン接種率はほかの先進国よりはやや遅れておりまだ人口の1/4 程度だが、今後は順調に接種が進む予定である。

金利引き下げ策および量的緩和策の実行金利引き下げ策および量的緩和策の実行により国債利回りは低いため、不動産利回り同様魅力的なスプレッドとなっている。政策金利は0.1％で、コアの負債コストは140～190bp の範囲に収まると予想している。コロナウィルス感染拡大は28 年ぶりのリセッションをもたらし、2020 年第２四半期のGDP は７％の落ち込みを示したが、回復は早く2021 年３月の数字は1.1％と、パンデミック以前のレベルまで持ち直1.1％と、パンデミック以前のレベルまで持ち直し2022 年は3.5％、2023 年は３％と予測されている。

前回のリセッションと比べ失業率は急激に悪前回のリセッションと比べ失業率は急激に悪化したものの、回復も早く2021 年３月は5.1％まで回復しており、政府の支援策が功を奏したとのようにも見える。セ

With the need for quality and cost-effective manufacturing becoming even more necessary due, to the disruption and economic implications of COVID-19, and global corporations looking to diversify their manufacturing bases and de-risk their supply chain, India has spotted an opportunity to capitalize on this strategic shift.

India has been active on the policy front and is paving the way to become the world’s most preferred manufacturing hub. The Production Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme is the cornerstone of the Indian government’s masterplan to boost domestic manufacturing and make it globally competitive. Introduced in April 2020, the scheme has set in motion aseries of game-changing reforms that will attract global manufacturing majors with a focus on sectors such as mobilephones, electronics, pharmaceuticals, food processing, IT, battery storage, automobile components and specialty steel.The core objective is to signal a turning point for Indian Industry and gain a global presence while boosting economicgrowth through job creation.

A measure of the government’s seriousness and the scale at which it is pushing the scheme is its outlay: Rs 1.97 lakhcrore, or $26 billion, across 13 key sectors. The highlights are:

● Linking incentives to output: Incentives will be based on the overall rate of growth in that industry. Beneficiarieswill have to consider additional investments in greenfield facilities or even to carry out facility expansions toachieve this increment. All of this will reduce imports too

● Results matter: Incentives will be disbursed only after production has taken place in the country. This will boostexisting capacities in domestic manufacturing for sunrise and strategic sectors, and make domestic manufacturing globally competitive

● Creating ‘champions’ to maximize impact: The focus is on size and scale for the selected industry players todeliver volumes. This will make it exceedingly effective and can make the beneficiaries globally competitive

During H1 2021, private equity (PE) inflow in Indian real estate was noted at USD2.9 billion, more than a two-fold increase from H1 2020. Over the next three years, we expect more capital to be deployed in build-to-core mixed-use, office and logistics assets as more investment platforms are formed between global private equity funds and local developers. We estimate total PE inflows to reach USD5 billion in 2021.

Some of the key highlights from the latest flash report by Colliers Research – ‘Investments Turbocharged with Focus on Alternate Assets Classes’ are:

• Investors continue to scout for either land or assets in under-construction stage, as they look to build their portfolio for a future REIT listing. About 86% of the total investments in the office sector were in land or projects under-construction.
• Investments in retail assets accounted for 29% of the total investments in H1 2021 as investor appetite remained intact for exposure to stabilized retail assets as well as for investments in ground-up developments in partnership with selective developers.
• The increased demand from e-commerce companies for logistics space has in turn resulted in continued interest from institutional investors with inflows of about USD775 million in H1 2021.

In this edition of The Reimagined Workplace Q&A series, we collaborate with Patrick McCreery, Global Head of Commercial and GM for Southeast Asia at Keppel Data Centres, to focus on disaster recovery – also known as business continuity planning – and discuss how the work ‘place’, ‘space’ and ‘pace’ are evolving within the data centres sector, as well as the opportunities for both occupiers and asset owners, going forward.

Q&A Highlights:

• How has occupier demand for disaster recovery changed in the past 12 months?
• How is cloud adoption transforming occupiers and why are operators following suit?
• What are the long-term outlook for disaster recovery and demand, and the opportunities in this space?
• How do data centres support business continuity planning and the disaster recovery business?

The Asia Pacific office demand declined from 103 million sf in 2019 to 53 million sf in 2020 as occupiers sought to limit cost exposures during the COVID-19 pandemic.
In line with this decline in demand, vacancy has increased, and rents have softened across most markets, pushing them towards greater tenant-friendly status and providing occupiers with a window of opportunity in negotiating any forthcoming lease commitments.

However, corporate occupiers need to be aware that these changes may not bring the cost savings that they might expect – some markets may see tenants having to pay more on a new lease than they were paying on the last year of an expiring lease.

In our Asia Pacific Office Rental Variability Index we take a closer look at:

• The current state of play in 36 key office cities across Asia Pacific
• The extent of, and variability in, rental change over the duration of average lease terms at the city level
• Strategies that occupiers might wish to explore to help navigate the impacts of this rent variability

The COVID-19 pandemic caused a high degree of uncertainty across the Queensland economy and the commercial property market. However, the Industrial and Logistics sector (I&L) has been the clear winner particularly as e-commerce penetration accelerated over the past 18 months and is one of the key drivers of demand for floorspace. Investors have responded by seeking to increase their exposure to the sector, and now investment sale volumes in Queensland was the highest on record in 2020.

This report will detail some the key trends driving the Brisbane industrial and logistics market, and provides greater insights on the supply and take-up of industrial land.